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What drives crude oil prices?

An analysis of 7 factors that influence oil markets, with chart data updated monthly and quarterly

May 7, 2019 | Washington, DC

U.S. Energy Information Administration

Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov

vk.com/id446425943Crude oil prices react to a variety of geopolitical and economic events

 

 

Global financial collapse

 

 

 

Low spare

OPEC production

 

 

quota unchanged

Iran-Iraq War

 

capacity

 

 

 

 

U.S. spare

Saudis abandon

9-11 attacks

 

capacity

swing producer role

 

 

exhausted

 

 

 

 

Asian financial crisis

 

Iranian

 

OPEC cuts targets

revolution

 

4.2 mmbpd

 

Iraq invades Kuwait

OPEC cuts targets

 

Arab Oil Embargo

1.7 mmbpd

 

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Thomson Reuters

May 7, 2019

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World oil prices move together due to arbitrage

Sources: Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters

May 7, 2019

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Crude oil prices are the primary driver of petroleum product prices

Sources: EIA Short Term Energy Outlook, Thomson Reuters

May 7, 2019

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