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1.3.3

2050 .

 

 

 

2007

 

2015

 

2025

 

2050

 

 

 

 

1 328 630

 

1 388 600

 

1 445 782

 

1 408 846

 

 

 

 

1 169 016

 

1 302 535

 

1 447 499

 

1 658 270

 

 

 

 

954 642

 

1 137 906

 

1 381 693

 

1 984 753

 

 

 

 

305 826

 

329 010

 

354 930

 

402 415

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

231 627

 

251 567

 

271 227

 

296 885

 

 

 

 

191 791

 

210 048

 

228 833

 

254 085

 

 

 

 

142 499

 

136 479

 

128 193

 

107 832

 

 

 

 

127 967

 

126 607

 

121 614

 

102 511

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

106 535

 

115 756

 

124 695

 

132 278

 

 

 

 

82 599

 

81 825

 

80 341

 

74 088

 

 

 

 

6 671 226

 

7 295 135

 

8 010 509

 

9 191 287

 

: United Nations Economic and Social Affairs, World population prospects 2009, Washington. P 44–48.

« » -

,

2050 . -

-

.

-

,

, .

.

1 -

.: .

. ., 2004.

90

2 ., ., . -

:

. ., 1992. . 40-44.

3Haustein H.D. The pathway of dynamic efficiency: economic trajectory of a technical revolution // The Long-wave Debate / Ed. by T.Vasko. Berlin, 1987. P. 198-215.

4Kogane Y. Long waves of economic growth. Past and future // Futures. 1988. Vol 20. 5. October. P. 536.

5Berry B.J.L. Long-wave rhythms in economic development and political behaviour // London, 1991. P. 126

6. C

// . . 5, 1998,

. 2 ( 12). . 76.

7. -

// . ., 2008, 1(25).

8. // www.finam. ru/investor/investments00014/

9 ., , . « », -

1992 . The Journal of Democracy.

10Williamson John. What Washington Means by Policy Reform, // Williamson, John (ed.): Latin American Readjustment: How Much has Happened, Washington: Institute for International Economics 1989.

11Dani Rodrik. Goodbye Washington Consensus, Hello Washington Confusion? Harvard University, January 2006. P. 3-4.

12Joshua Cooper Ramo. The Beijing Consensus. The Foreign Policy Centre. L., 2004.

13Dirlik Arif. Beijing Consensus: Beijing 'Gongshi.' University of Oregon // www.en.chinaelections.org/uploadfile/200909/2009091802524 6335. pdf

14., . : , -

// , 2004, 8.

. 54-60.

15 ., . : , -

// , 2004, 8.

. 54-60.

16 . . .: . . 1996. .132. 17 .

91

18 Benhabib S. Reclaiming Universalism:Negotiating Republican SelfDetermination and Cosmopolitan Norms/ Berkeley, CA. 2005. P. 32.

19 .: . , ? ., 2002.

20http://www.kremlin.ru/appears/2008/10/08/1619_type63374type633 77type82634_207422.shtml

21UNCTAD. Handbook of Statistics 2010. N.Y. and Geneva, 2010.

. 438-440.

22 : UNCTAD. Handbook of Statistics 2010. N.Y.

and Geneva, 2010. . 434.

23 : 2020 . ., 2009. . 107.

24 Ponce S. The Long Term Growth Prospects of the World Economy: Horizon 2050. Paris:CEP// Working Paper N 16. 2006. P. 64-65.

25 : 2020 . . 64-65.

26UNCTAD. Handbook of Statistics 2010. N.Y. and Geneva, 2010.. 424.

27The Mutual Review of Development Effectiveness in Africa: Promise and Performance. OECD. 2010. P. 13.

28Ibid. P. 434.

29CNUCED. World Investment Report 2008. N.Y. and Geneva, 2008. P. 13.

30UNCTAD. Handbook of Statistics 2010. N.Y. and Geneva, 2010.. VIII.

31Ibid. P. 10.

32Ibid. P. 11.

33Ibid. P. 12-13.

34Ibid. P. 90-126.

35. : -

// . 2007. 2. . 7-10.

36CNUCED. World Investment Report 2009. P. I.

37UNCTAD. Handbook of Statistics 2010. N.Y. and Geneva, 2010.. 374-375.

38Ibidem.

39Ibid. P. 374-375.

40Ibid. P. 375, 377.

41http://www.unctad.org/sections/dite_dir/docs/wir2010_regionalslides_ asia%20_en.pdf

42http://www.unctad.org/en/docs/wir2010_en.pdf

92

43 . .,

2009. . 32.

44WTO. Legal Texts: Uruguay Round Final Act. Geneva, 1995.

45Ibid. P. 10-12.

46 . 17.01.2006.

47 .

. 30.

48 . . 31.

49 ., . -

. ., 2008. . 382.

50 Human Development Report 2009. Overcoming barriers: Human mobility and development. UNDP. N.Y., 2009. P. 13.

51 ., ,

« ».

., 2009. . 20.

52Sandra Poncet. The Long Term Growth Prospects of the World Economy: horizon 2050. CEPII, Working Paper. No 2006-16. P. P. 4.

53Goldman Sachs (BRICs and beyond) PricewaterhouseCoopers (The

world in 2050).

54US National Intelligence Council in 2004 – Mapping the global future

nor the more recent Global Trends 2025: a transformed world.

55http://www.prime-tass.ru/news/0/%7B44AF97C0-7099-451A-B6E3-

7AB78015F5F6%7D.uif

56 .: Sub-Saharan African and the Global Financial Crisis.

(http://ictsd.Net/i/news/tni/).

57 .: World Economic Situation and Prospects 2009. N.Y., United Nations, 2009. P. 110–112.

58 : World Economic Situation and Prospects 2009. N.Y., United Nations, 2009. P. 110–112. http:// www.oecd/dac/stats

59 : World Economic Situation and Prospects 2009; http:// www.unctad.org

60 Ibid. P. 374-375.

61 .: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-01/19/content_106848 45. htm

62 .: UN. Africa Renewal. October 2008. Vol. 22. N 3. P. 6–7, 22.

63 .: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_foreign_ex- change_reserves

93

64 .: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-01/19/content_106848 45.htm

65 .: The Economist. 14–21 March. 2009. P. 12. 66 Ibid. P. 99.

67 .: http://www.imf.org/external/np/speeches/2009/031809.htm

68 .: http://www.mbendi.com/indy/ming/af/ug/p0005.htm

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