Fortune_CL2010_-_final
.pdfENTER!
Agenda
Part 1: Russian ice-cream market
Part 2: Optimal entry strategies
Part 3: Follow up a success
Optimal Strategy Analysis (1)
A. Import ice-cream from Europe
+ Can be started at relatively short notice
-High import duties & transportation costs
-High advertising & promotion expenses
-Recent RUR devaluation
-27% price margin for imported ice-cream vs. 36% price margin for domestically produced
NOT OPTIMAL
Optimal Strategy Analysis (2)
B. “Greenfield”: start own ice-cream production in Russia
+ Benefit from technologies of production
-Extremely time-consuming
-Administrative/regulatory issues
-High advertising & promotion expenses
-Increasing consumer loyalty towards brands, already in the market
NOT OPTIMAL
Optimal Strategy Analysis (3)
C. “Brownfield”: buy a company – market leader in ice-cream production
+Relatively fast
+Companies’ valuations dropped significantly
+Market leaders are growing much faster than the rest of the market
+Marketing synergies & economies of scale
THE RIGHT WAY TO GO!
Which company to
acquire?
Company analysis: Inmarko
Value disciplines
Business performance
+ Ice-cream business net margin of 7.2%
- Net debt US$55.8, current portion US$23.1m
- Net debt/PBT=3.72x
- Cash balance US$1.8m
Company analysis: Talosto
Value disciplines
Business
Performance
- Ice-cream business net margin of 5.6%
+ Net debt US$51.6m, current portion US$4.8m
+ Net debt/PBT=3.42x
+ Cash balance US$4.1m
+/- Frozen foods are 44% of Sales
Acquire Inmarko and
Talosto’s ice-cream business!
Optimal strategy: acquire Inmarko and ice-cream business of Talosto (1)
+Inmarko is very strong in the regions, while Talosto is active in Moscow and St.Petersburg
+Two companies have different value disciplines, which supplement each other
+Talosto’s shareholders are likely to agree to sell ice-cream business, given its lower profitability and technical possibility to separate ice-cream and FF production
+/- Combined company would have more than 30% market share. However this could be restricted by FAS