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EM fund flows: Allocations

The following charts show sector allocations of non-ETF GEM funds benchmarked to MSCI EM vs index weights, with shaded areas highlighting over/underweights, based on a sample of c. 40% of MSCI EM-benchmarked active AuM.

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

Figure 190: Non-ETF allocation to IT vs benchmark

 

Overweight

 

Underweight

 

 

 

 

 

IT, Fund weight

 

IT, Index weight

 

 

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

Figure 191: Non-ETF allocation to Financials vs benchmark

 

Overweight

 

Underweight

 

 

 

 

 

Financials, Fund weight

 

Financials, Index weight

 

 

35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0%

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

Source: MSCI, EPFR.com Source: MSCI, EPFR.com

Figure 192: Non-ETF allocation to Consumer Discretionary vs benchmark Figure 193: Non-ETF allocation to Energy vs benchmark

 

Overweight

 

Underweight

 

 

 

 

 

Cons. Disc., Fund weight

 

Cons. Disc., Index weight

 

 

16%

25%

14%

 

12%

20%

 

10%

15%

 

8%

 

6%

10%

 

4%

5%

 

2%

 

0%

0%

 

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

 

Overweight

 

Underweight

 

 

 

 

 

Energy, Fund weight

 

Energy, Index weight

 

 

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

Source: MSCI, EPFR.com Source: MSCI, EPFR.com

Figure 194: Non-ETF allocation to Materials vs benchmark Figure 195: Non-ETF allocation to Consumer Staples vs benchmark

 

Overweight

 

Underweight

 

 

 

 

 

Materials, Fund weight

 

Materials, Index weight

 

 

20%

16%

 

 

14%

15%

12%

 

10%

10%

8%

 

6%

5%

4%

 

2%

0%

0%

 

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

 

Overweight

 

Underweight

 

 

 

 

 

Cons. Staples, Fund weight

 

Cons. Staples, Index weight

 

 

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

Source: MSCI, EPFR.com

Source: MSCI, EPFR.com

99

vk.com/id446425943

EM fund Flows: Allocations

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

Figure 196: Non-ETF allocation to Industrials vs benchmark

Figure 197: Non-ETF allocation to Telecoms vs benchmark

Overweight

Underweight

Industrials, Fund weight

Industrials, Index weight

14%

18%

 

12%

16%

10%

14%

12%

 

8%

10%

 

6%

8%

4%

6%

4%

2%

2%

 

0%

0%

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

 

Overweight

 

Underweight

 

 

 

 

 

Telecoms, Fund weight

 

Telecoms, Index weight

 

 

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

Source: MSCI, EPFR.com Source: MSCI, EPFR.com

Figure 198: Non-ETF allocation to Real Estate vs benchmark Figure 199: Non-ETF allocation to Healthcare vs benchmark

 

Overweight

 

Underweight

 

 

 

 

 

Real Estate, Fund weight

 

Real Estate, Index weight

 

 

4.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.0%

3.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.0%

2.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.5%

1.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.5%

0.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Apr-13

Oct-13

Apr-14

Oct-14

Apr-15

Oct-15

Apr-16

Oct-16

Apr-17

Oct-17

Apr-18

Oct-18

 

Overweight

 

Underweight

 

 

 

 

 

Healthcare, Fund weight

 

Healthcare, Index weight

 

 

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

Source: MSCI, EPFR.com Source: MSCI, EPFR.com

Figure 200: Non-ETF allocation to Utilities vs benchmark Figure 201: Non-ETF allocation to Cash

 

Overweight

Underweight

 

4.5%

Utilities, Fund weight

Utilities, Index weight

 

 

 

14%

 

 

 

4.0%

 

 

12%

3.5%

 

 

 

 

 

3.0%

 

 

10%

2.5%

 

 

8%

 

 

 

2.0%

 

 

6%

1.5%

 

 

 

 

 

1.0%

 

 

4%

 

 

 

0.5%

 

 

2%

0.0%

Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

 

 

 

Average Cash

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-96

Jan-97

Jan-98

Jan-99

Jan-00

Jan-01

Jan-02

Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05

Jan-06

Jan-07

Jan-08

Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13

Jan-14

Jan-15

Jan-16

Jan-17

Jan-18

Source: MSCI, EPFR.com

Source: MSCI, EPFR.com

100

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Market watch

Performance: EM and Frontier ($)

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

Month to 31 December

a

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

a

1m

3m

6m

12m

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

12M Trend

EM

-2.9

-7.8

-9.7

-16.6

-16.6

34.3

8.6

-17.0

-4.6

-5.0

 

Frontier

-3.0

-4.5

-6.9

-19.1

-19.1

27.7

-1.3

-17.3

2.9

21.4

 

DM

-7.7

-13.7

-9.8

-10.4

-10.4

20.1

5.3

-2.7

2.9

24.1

 

LatAm

-1.3

-0.4

3.6

-9.3

-9.3

20.8

27.9

-32.9

-14.8

-15.7

 

EMEA

-1.8

-4.6

-7.2

-18.8

-18.8

21.0

16.4

-22.4

-17.5

-8.0

 

EM Asia

-3.4

-9.6

-12.1

-17.3

-17.3

40.1

3.8

-11.8

2.5

-0.2

 

EM Value

-2.6

-7.2

-5.4

-13.7

-13.7

24.3

11.4

-21.2

-7.1

-8.0

 

EM Growth

-3.3

-8.5

-13.8

-19.5

-19.5

44.9

5.8

-12.8

-2.2

-2.1

 

Iron ore

11.9

4.2

11.7

-2.4

-2.4

-7.6

85.1

-36.5

-49.3

-6.9

 

Gold

5.1

7.7

2.4

-1.6

-1.6

13.5

8.1

-10.4

-1.4

-28.3

 

Copper

-3.8

-4.7

-10.0

-17.7

-17.7

30.9

17.7

-25.3

-14.4

-7.2

 

Oil

-9.0

-35.9

-32.4

-20.4

-20.4

20.6

55.0

-35.9

-49.7

-1.0

 

Mexico

3.2

-19.4

-14.2

-17.4

-17.4

13.6

-10.7

-16.0

-10.2

-2.0

 

Peru

1.5

-3.1

-5.3

-0.3

-0.3

33.5

53.8

-32.5

9.2

-31.0

 

Philippines

1.5

5.2

6.0

-17.4

-17.4

23.3

-7.7

-8.1

23.7

-4.3

 

Malaysia

1.4

-6.2

-3.7

-8.9

-8.9

21.1

-6.7

-22.4

-13.4

4.2

 

Indonesia

0.8

9.4

11.4

-11.2

-11.2

22.0

14.8

-21.0

24.1

-25.0

 

UAE

0.2

-5.6

-3.2

-11.9

-11.9

-1.3

9.0

-20.6

11.5

84.7

 

Poland

0.2

-3.0

5.6

-14.5

-14.5

52.2

-2.2

-27.2

-16.8

-1.7

 

Hungary

-0.1

5.9

10.8

-8.5

-8.5

36.9

32.3

33.1

-29.6

-9.0

 

India

-0.2

2.2

-0.5

-8.8

-8.8

36.8

-2.8

-7.4

21.9

-5.3

 

S Africa

-0.7

-4.1

-12.0

-26.5

-26.5

33.1

15.1

-27.2

2.5

-8.8

 

Qatar

-1.0

8.4

22.3

23.9

23.9

-14.4

2.3

-22.7

11.7

23.9

 

Egypt

-1.0

-10.1

-16.2

-16.3

-16.3

4.5

-12.8

-24.8

26.2

6.2

 

Taiwan

-1.4

-13.7

-10.0

-11.8

-11.8

23.8

14.8

-14.4

6.9

6.6

 

Brazil

-2.5

12.4

18.0

-3.9

-3.9

21.0

61.3

-43.4

-17.4

-18.7

 

Czech

-3.0

-8.7

-5.1

-8.4

-8.4

29.4

-9.6

-21.9

-7.9

-14.9

 

Thailand

-3.0

-10.5

1.0

-8.0

-8.0

30.9

23.0

-25.5

13.3

-16.9

 

Korea

-3.1

-14.2

-13.8

-22.6

-22.6

45.5

7.0

-7.9

-12.6

3.1

 

Chile

-3.8

-8.9

-10.8

-21.0

-21.0

39.8

13.2

-18.9

-14.5

-23.0

 

Russia

-4.0

-10.1

-6.7

-5.6

-5.6

0.3

48.9

0.0

-48.5

-2.6

 

Colombia

-4.1

-19.5

-21.9

-13.9

-13.9

13.8

23.9

-43.9

-22.3

-23.7

 

Turkey

-5.3

4.4

-17.2

-43.6

-43.6

34.3

-10.5

-33.6

16.7

-28.1

 

Greece

-5.7

-16.4

-31.1

-37.8

-37.8

27.1

-13.2

-62.1

-40.3

46.2

 

China

-6.1

-10.8

-18.3

-20.4

-20.4

51.1

-1.4

-10.0

4.7

0.4

 

Pakistan

-12.4

-23.7

-28.1

-37.8

-37.8

-28.0

32.7

-18.3

7.6

26.5

 

Jordan

4.5

-4.0

-12.2

-8.4

-8.4

4.3

-4.7

-4.3

-5.3

-9.5

 

Serbia

4.4

3.4

1.4

-0.1

-0.1

28.2

9.7

-30.7

-24.7

19.5

 

Slovenia

3.9

3.4

-2.0

-3.7

-3.7

26.3

-19.2

-9.3

-10.8

19.8

 

Saudi Arabia

2.1

-2.2

-5.1

14.7

14.7

3.7

5.9

-15.4

-5.8

26.6

 

Morocco

1.0

-0.6

-3.4

-10.2

-10.2

7.2

29.9

-17.3

-4.1

-7.1

 

Nigeria

0.6

-3.4

-17.5

-18.2

-18.2

30.7

-39.2

-23.5

-29.6

24.3

 

Croatia

0.4

-3.5

-5.2

-12.4

-12.4

12.9

17.6

-10.0

-17.3

-4.7

 

Lebanon

0.3

6.6

-8.8

-17.6

-17.6

-8.3

4.6

0.9

1.5

-9.0

 

Kuwait

-0.2

-0.9

7.6

11.1

11.1

14.2

-0.9

-19.4

-7.3

2.1

 

Bangladesh

-1.8

-0.5

-7.1

-15.9

-15.9

15.7

8.2

-18.8

47.4

0.9

 

Mauritius

-2.3

0.8

1.1

-24.2

-24.2

36.9

4.8

-21.1

-9.3

21.9

 

Tunisia

-2.3

-12.4

-18.6

9.8

9.8

7.0

-3.2

-17.7

2.2

-8.7

 

Sri Lanka

-2.6

5.6

-8.9

-13.8

-13.8

-1.0

-7.7

-24.8

16.7

8.3

 

Oman

-2.9

-2.7

7.0

-9.0

-9.0

-14.9

2.8

-13.9

-3.9

10.4

 

WAEMU

-4.0

-15.7

-31.7

-35.8

6.4

6.7

na

na

na

na

 

Bahrain

-4.4

-8.9

0.8

-5.8

-5.8

5.4

-4.0

-25.2

-35.0

-8.3

 

Argentina

-4.8

-1.4

-10.6

-51.7

-51.7

72.3

3.9

-1.2

17.3

63.7

 

Vietnam

-5.8

-6.7

-10.9

-13.5

2.1

61.2

-8.5

-6.4

2.9

3.7

 

Lithuania

-5.8

-15.4

-16.1

-12.9

-12.9

10.8

-7.4

-9.8

-13.3

13.6

 

Kazakhstan

-6.1

-0.9

-9.1

-6.5

-6.5

68.1

6.7

-49.3

-16.1

0.7

 

Kenya

-6.9

-10.0

-23.8

-15.8

-15.8

29.8

-4.6

-20.9

19.9

43.4

 

Estonia

-7.0

5.6

-4.4

-16.4

-16.4

43.9

6.2

7.9

-32.9

6.4

 

Romania

-16.5

-15.2

-12.1

-6.2

-6.2

21.7

3.2

-1.4

-5.4

29.8

 

Note: $ performance of MSCI country indices, sorted by last month's returns

MSCI Index performance ($)

200

 

 

 

 

EM

 

 

Frontier

 

 

DM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

180

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

160

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

140

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

120

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

80

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

60

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-10

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12 Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

MSCI EM Asia vs EMEA vs LatAm ($)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

180

 

 

 

EM Asia

 

 

EMEA

 

 

 

LatAm

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

160

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

140

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

120

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

80

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

60

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-10

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12 Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

MSCI EM performance, last month and YtD ($)

30

EM performance, 1m ($)

EM performance, YtD ($)

20

 

 

10

 

 

0

 

 

-10

 

 

-20

 

 

-30

 

 

-40

 

 

-50

Mexico Peru Philippines Malaysia Indonesia UAE Poland Hungary India S Africa Qatar Egypt Taiwan Brazil EM Czech Thailand Korea Chile Russia Colombia Turkey Greece China Pakistan

 

MSCI FM performance, last month and YtD ($)

20

FM performance, 1m ($) FM performance, YtD ($)

10

0 -10

-20 -30 -40

-50 -60

Romania

WAEMU

Estonia

Kenya

Kazakhstan

Lithuania

Argentina

Vietnam

Bahrain

Frontier

Oman

Sri Lanka

Tunisia

Mauritius

Bangladesh

Kuwait

Lebanon

Croatia

Nigeria

Morocco

Saudi Arabia

Slovenia

Serbia

Jordan

Source: Bloomberg

101

vk.com/id446425943

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

Performance: Sectors ($)

 

Weight

1m

3m

6m

12m

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

12M Trend

MSCI EM Sector Index performance ($)

 

 

 

EM Sectors

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5

 

EM sector performance, 1m ($)

 

 

Utilities

3.6%

0.5

3.3

0.6

-6.4

-6.4

13.2

-0.5

-22.9

-1.1

-5.9

 

0

 

EM sector performance, YtD ($)

 

 

Cons. Staples

7.2%

-0.1

-5.1

-8.3

-15.3

-15.3

23.3

-1.6

-10.8

-6.8

-5.5

 

-5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Industrials

17.2%

-0.5

-4.1

-1.7

-14.2

-14.2

24.0

-3.7

-18.0

-4.4

-2.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Real Estate

6.0%

-0.9

1.1

-6.5

-20.5

-20.5

45.1

-6.3

-9.6

-6.8

-18.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Materials

7.8%

-1.1

-11.3

-9.1

-14.4

-14.4

30.2

28.7

-23.7

-21.8

-19.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Communications

9.3%

-1.6

-4.1

-4.1

-17.9

-17.9

12.3

-1.1

-22.3

-4.9

-5.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financials

18.4%

-2.1

-1.3

-1.4

-11.7

-11.7

28.8

9.2

-21.1

2.1

-7.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-35

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IT

10.5%

-4.1

-13.0

-17.4

-20.6

-20.6

58.6

15.0

-8.7

8.1

12.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Industrials

 

Materials Communications

Financials

 

Energy

 

 

Energy

5.0%

-5.6

-11.4

0.0

0.8

0.8

17.2

32.5

-19.7

-29.4

-13.6

 

Utilities

Cons.Staples

RealEstate

IT

Cons.Disc.

Healthcare

Healthcare

3.2%

0.3

2.4

-4.5

-6.4

-6.4

22.6

-9.9

2.5

na

na

 

Cons. Disc.

10.4%

-7.1

-13.8

-23.1

-33.3

-33.3

38.5

-0.4

-12.6

-3.1

4.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Healthcare

4.5%

-7.9

-16.3

-22.5

-21.5

-21.5

31.4

-8.3

-6.0

18.2

8.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FM Sectors

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Materials

5.7%

-0.3

-9.0

-14.5

-18.9

-18.9

13.9

9.7

-8.2

na

na

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financials

44.4%

-1.8

-2.3

-4.3

-16.3

-16.3

29.2

-1.1

-1.4

na

na

 

MSCI FM Sector Index performance ($)

 

 

 

Cons. Staples

9.3%

-2.1

-7.2

-12.1

-22.6

-22.6

34.4

-33.4

-2.3

na

na

 

10

 

FM sector performance, 1m ($)

 

 

Industrials

4.5%

-2.8

-4.1

-4.5

-15.1

-15.1

29.8

6.7

-3.9

na

na

 

0

 

FM sector performance, YtD ($)

 

 

Communications

12.2%

-3.6

-6.8

-8.5

-20.6

-20.6

18.0

13.0

-2.2

na

na

 

-10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cons. Disc.

1.5%

-4.6

-16.4

-27.9

-36.6

-36.6

-50.7

19.5

-2.0

na

na

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Real Estate

8.3%

-5.3

-5.3

-9.4

-8.3

-8.3

20.7

7.3

na

na

na

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Utilities

3.9%

-6.4

-2.1

-9.6

-47.9

-47.9

60.3

15.6

-4.3

na

na

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Energy

5.4%

-9.5

-10.5

-2.8

-29.6

-29.6

38.7

4.1

-9.5

na

na

 

-40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EM largest 10 country sectors

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-50

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Malaysia Communications

4.3%

5.9

-9.9

-0.8

-24.5

-24.5

18.5

-19.3

-24.8

1.9

-5.9

 

-60

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-0.6

 

-1.2

-10.3

-10.3

15.2

 

 

-23.4

 

 

 

Financials

Cons.Staples

Industrials

Communications

 

 

Utilities

Energy

Korea Industrials

4.6%

-9.0

-3.6

-18.6

-4.2

 

Healthcare

Materials

Cons.Disc.

RealEstate

China Industrials

7.6%

-3.9

-8.6

-6.9

-16.8

-16.8

16.3

-11.6

-8.5

6.9

5.2

 

Taiwan IT

6.5%

-0.7

-15.3

-11.0

-16.2

-16.2

29.1

18.4

-15.1

18.4

2.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China Real Estate

2.8%

-0.9

1.1

-10.3

-14.9

-14.9

97.1

-14.6

na

na

na

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

S Africa Financials

2.6%

-2.2

-1.7

-2.0

-20.7

-20.7

33.1

24.1

-32.0

10.7

-11.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China Financials

3.8%

-4.4

-7.0

-9.1

-16.4

-16.4

28.8

-3.5

-12.6

14.1

-3.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Czech Financials

1.9%

-4.9

-10.6

-8.9

-14.1

-14.1

23.0

-15.2

-3.8

-6.6

5.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China Materials

1.8%

-6.6

-15.8

-18.5

-21.6

-21.6

50.0

17.5

-21.0

-0.5

-16.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China Cons. Disc.

2.6%

-11.3

-20.6

-35.1

-39.6

-39.6

61.6

-9.7

-4.9

-9.4

-1.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EMEA largest country-sectors (weight in MSCI EMEA >1%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

S Africa Materials

6.4%

7.1

-9.5

-7.8

-13.5

-13.5

16.4

35.3

-44.3

-24.4

-46.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Qatar Real Estate

2.0%

3.0

20.1

44.8

10.3

10.3

-15.3

-15.8

na

na

na

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Poland Energy

1.3%

2.4

6.4

29.8

1.1

1.1

48.6

14.4

16.2

-11.7

-9.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Poland Communications

4.1%

2.3

-5.0

-15.6

-39.1

-39.1

18.3

-21.5

-28.8

-27.5

-17.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Poland Materials

2.5%

0.7

-1.6

-5.0

-32.2

-32.2

46.0

5.4

-31.4

-27.7

-29.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Poland Financials

9.2%

0.1

-4.0

4.2

-16.4

-16.4

59.5

-7.9

-33.6

-16.5

14.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Qatar Financials

1.6%

-1.5

8.3

22.8

32.8

32.8

-12.6

3.7

-17.3

24.4

20.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

S Africa Real Estate

2.6%

-2.1

-4.9

-9.0

-35.6

-35.6

14.3

-1.7

na

na

na

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

S Africa Financials

15.0%

-2.2

-1.7

-2.0

-20.7

-20.7

33.1

24.1

-32.0

10.7

-11.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Russia Materials

1.8%

-2.5

-2.9

-0.8

-3.4

-3.4

3.3

49.2

-8.6

-30.9

-23.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

S Africa Cons. Staples

2.5%

-2.7

-2.0

-11.9

-28.6

-28.6

28.3

21.2

-33.7

4.7

-32.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Russia Energy

3.9%

-3.2

-10.4

1.8

16.1

16.1

-3.9

47.1

-3.3

-45.0

-5.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

S Africa Cons. Disc.

3.8%

-3.9

-9.7

-22.2

-31.3

-31.3

50.7

5.0

-3.5

18.9

21.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Turkey Cons. Disc.

5.6%

-4.6

4.2

-24.0

-49.1

-49.1

22.2

8.7

-20.2

17.2

-8.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Czech Financials

10.8%

-4.9

-10.6

-8.9

-14.1

-14.1

23.0

-15.2

-3.8

-6.6

5.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Turkey Industrials

2.9%

-5.6

-2.3

-5.4

-35.5

-35.5

55.8

-15.4

-29.4

23.1

-5.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

S Africa Healthcare

2.6%

-5.8

-8.0

-31.6

-41.2

-41.2

3.1

9.7

-35.0

24.4

12.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Greece Cons. Disc.

1.2%

-6.0

-11.0

-21.7

-36.5

-36.5

31.3

21.1

-18.8

-19.2

82.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Turkey Financials

2.1%

-6.1

15.8

-23.7

-51.1

-51.1

22.1

-9.6

-38.6

19.3

-37.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UAE Real Estate

2.9%

-7.3

-15.2

-17.8

-35.2

-35.2

-6.0

-1.7

na

na

na

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note: $ performance of MSCI sector indices, sorted by last month's returns

Source: Bloomberg

102

vk.com/id446425943

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

Valuation watch - key metrics

 

Price/Earnings (x)

 

 

 

Dividend yield

 

Price/Book (x)

Return on Equity

 

EPS Growth

 

 

Country

T12M

12MF

17

18E

19E

T12M

18E

19E

T12M

12MF

T12M

18E

19E

16

17

18E

19E

EM

12.0

11.0

12.2

11.2

10.0

2.8%

3.2%

3.6%

1.5

1.4

13%

12%

13%

17%

25%

10%

7%

Brazil

17.0

11.8

19.1

14.6

11.9

3.5%

3.4%

4.1%

2.0

1.8

12%

14%

16%

-3%

6%

16%

15%

Chile

17.2

15.4

21.1

15.8

14.4

3.0%

2.9%

3.0%

1.8

1.7

10%

10%

11%

13%

16%

23%

9%

China

11.5

10.3

13.4

11.9

10.4

3.3%

2.7%

3.0%

1.5

1.3

13%

15%

13%

3%

26%

12%

14%

Colombia

12.7

11.3

15.6

11.4

11.2

3.0%

3.5%

4.1%

1.3

1.2

10%

12%

13%

55%

10%

44%

3%

Czech

14.0

13.5

13.1

14.2

13.7

6.8%

5.5%

5.7%

1.4

1.3

10%

10%

10%

-13%

-1%

-8%

4%

Egypt

7.7

8.3

10.4

10.1

8.7

2.4%

3.3%

4%

1.3

2.2

17%

31%

29%

42%

40%

4%

16%

Greece

17.4

13.8

15.2

14.9

12.4

4.1%

4.6%

5.0%

0.8

0.8

5%

5%

6%

28%

-14%

14%

9%

Hungary

10.5

10.0

10.8

10.8

10.7

2.3%

2.4%

2.7%

1.5

1.3

14%

15%

14%

86%

27%

0%

1%

India

20.2

17.3

22.2

19.2

16.1

1.6%

1.6%

1.8%

2.9

2.5

14%

16%

16%

9%

14%

12%

17%

Indonesia

16.9

15.1

18.8

16.5

14.7

2.5%

2.5%

2.8%

2.8

2.4

16%

17%

17%

1%

18%

14%

12%

Malaysia

17.2

15.7

17.3

17.4

15.6

3.5%

3.4%

3.4%

1.7

1.5

10%

10%

10%

6%

4%

-1%

11%

Mexico

18.0

13.6

20.6

16.4

14.0

2.9%

2.8%

3.1%

2.1

1.8

12%

14%

15%

30%

13%

24%

18%

Pakistan

9.2

7.1

8.9

9.3

7.0

6.3%

6.5%

7.6%

1.2

1.1

13%

12%

16%

-12%

-6%

-4%

32%

Peru

16.4

13.8

16.9

15.8

13.7

2.0%

2.6%

3.0%

2.4

2.1

15%

15%

16%

14%

21%

3%

12%

Philippines

19.5

16.9

20.3

18.3

16.2

1.6%

1.6%

1.7%

2.1

1.9

11%

12%

12%

5%

7%

11%

13%

Poland

12.6

11.8

12.0

12.3

11.6

2.9%

2.8%

3.2%

1.4

1.2

11%

11%

11%

-7%

26%

-3%

8%

Qatar

15.0

13.4

16.1

14.4

13.2

3.5%

3.7%

3.9%

2.0

2.0

13%

16%

16%

-1%

3%

11%

6%

Russia

5.7

5.6

8.1

5.3

5.1

6.2%

6.8%

7.4%

0.8

0.8

15%

16%

15%

18%

4%

48%

5%

S Africa

16.6

13.2

18.7

15.3

13.1

3.3%

3.3%

3.6%

2.0

1.8

12%

15%

15%

-11%

11%

22%

17%

Korea

7.3

8.5

7.8

6.9

7.7

2.3%

2.7%

2.9%

0.9

0.8

12%

13%

11%

8%

51%

13%

-10%

Taiwan

11.7

12.9

13.3

12.4

12.3

4.8%

4.7%

4.9%

1.6

1.5

13%

13%

12%

4%

8%

10%

2%

Thailand

14.1

13.8

15.0

14.7

13.8

3.1%

3.1%

3.2%

2.0

1.8

14%

14%

13%

3%

14%

1%

7%

Turkey

6.3

6.2

7.4

6.6

6.3

5.5%

5.1%

6.0%

1.0

0.8

15%

16%

13%

18%

42%

4%

3%

UAE

9.9

9.0

10.2

9.5

8.8

6.2%

5.5%

5.8%

1.3

1.2

14%

14%

13%

6%

4%

8%

7%

Frontier

11.3

9.5

11.9

9.7

Argentina

10.9

11.6

26.3

11.1

Bahrain

9.6

8.6

8.8

8.8

Bangladesh

17.7

14.4

17.9

15.7

Croatia

10.7

13.6

14.0

13.6

Estonia

18.9

14.8

15.8

18.4

Ivory Coast

6.1

 

6.4

 

Jordan

10.7

7.2

11.4

8.2

Kazakhstan

7.5

5.0

8.6

6.5

Kenya

7.8

8.4

10.3

9.4

Kuwait

15.9

7.5

14.3

15.1

Lebanon

4.8

 

3.9

5.6

Lithuania

6.0

7.0

9.5

5.4

Mauritius

8.4

7.3

9.4

8.2

Morocco

18.8

16.4

18.1

18.2

Nigeria

6.0

5.7

6.7

6.3

Oman

7.5

6.2

7.1

7.4

Romania

6.8

6.6

7.2

6.6

Saudi Arabia

15.0

14.1

16.3

14.9

Senegal

12.3

 

10.7

9.4

Serbia

14.0

2.7

6.0

3.8

Slovenia

10.8

10.2

11.5

11.1

Sri Lanka

10.3

12.1

14.0

11.1

Tunisia

15.7

 

15.8

14.9

Vietnam

21.8

16.4

25.3

19.0

Note: excludes companies with negative earnings, except

EM 12M fwd P/E vs 10yr average

12M fwd P/E 10 yr avg

20

18

16

14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0

EM

Colombia

Poland

Brazil

Taiwan

S Africa

Qatar

Czech

Mexico

Peru

Thailand

Greece

Indonesia

Chile

Malaysia

Philippines

India

8.1

3.8%

4.9%

5.0%

1.8

1.3

16%

17%

17%

-20%

18%

3%

16%

10.8

3.9%

1.9%

2.4%

2.3

2.2

21%

21%

15%

29%

44%

118%

1%

8.0

6.8%

6.8%

7.0%

1.2

1.3

13%

9%

10%

5%

12%

-5%

9%

13.3

2.4%

2.0%

2.6%

3.7

3.1

21%

24%

24%

33%

24%

14%

18%

13.5

3.8%

3.6%

3.6%

0.8

1.1

8%

8%

8%

24%

-13%

2%

0%

14.1

2.9%

8.4%

5.2%

1.0

1.0

5%

5%

7%

-18%

-6%

-14%

30%

 

7.5%

 

 

1.6

 

26%

 

 

 

 

 

 

7.3

5.0%

5.4%

5.7%

0.9

0.6

9%

7%

8%

-31%

7%

29%

13%

5.7

6.5%

5.5%

8.8%

1.5

1.2

20%

24%

24%

-17%

30%

33%

14%

8.5

5.6%

6.1%

6.6%

2.8

2.2

36%

29%

30%

3%

11%

10%

11%

13.0

3.4%

7.8%

9.7%

1.7

0.9

11%

11%

12%

9%

4%

-5%

16%

3.9

11.6%

0.0%

0.0%

0.6

0.5

14%

 

 

13%

-1%

16%

4%

6.9

3.0%

2.4%

3.7%

1.0

0.8

17%

19%

13%

83%

-32%

52%

-21%

7.3

3.7%

3.8%

4.3%

1.3

1.1

15%

15%

15%

15%

1%

14%

13%

17.2

3.8%

3.9%

4.0%

3.4

2.5

18%

17%

17%

11%

10%

2%

6%

5.6

6.8%

7.0%

7.5%

1.2

0.5

20%

19%

20%

13%

32%

13%

8%

6.5

7.0%

6.7%

7.1%

0.8

0.6

11%

10%

11%

-7%

-10%

-4%

14%

6.7

10.4%

9.2%

9.0%

1.0

0.9

15%

15%

14%

-35%

35%

9%

-1%

13.8

4.0%

3.2%

4.0%

1.9

1.8

13%

11%

12%

-1%

11%

9%

8%

8.8

9.8%

9.7%

10.3%

3.1

2.2

25%

26%

26%

-4%

-15%

13%

7%

3.4

6.3%

 

 

1.9

 

14%

 

 

 

 

 

 

10.4

5.6%

5.7%

6.0%

1.2

1.1

11%

10%

11%

-21%

30%

4%

7%

12.3

4.0%

4.3%

4.5%

1.1

1.0

11%

9%

9%

7%

2%

26%

-10%

13.5

3.0%

3.0%

3.1%

3.6

 

23%

21%

21%

31%

14%

2%

9%

16.1

2.9%

2.0%

2.2%

3.6

3.3

17%

22%

22%

48%

21%

11%

19%

12M fwd P/E, which are Bloomberg convention. EM and Frontier aggregate EPS growth is Bloomberg convention

 

 

 

 

 

FM 12M fwd P/E vs 10yr average

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12M fwd P/E

10 yr avg

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China Hungary UAE Korea Egypt Pakistan Turkey Russia

 

Vietnam Morocco

Estonia Bangladesh

Saudi Arabia Croatia

Sri Lanka Argentina Slovenia

Frontier Bahrain

Kenya Kuwait Mauritius

Jordan Lithuania

Romania Oman Nigeria

Kazakhstan

Source: Bloomberg

103

vk.com/id446425943

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

Valuation watch - 12M fwd P/E focus

Country

Cons. Disc.

Cons. Stples

Financials

Energy

Healthcare

Industrials

IT

Materials

Real Estate

Telecoms

Utilities

Overall

5yr avg

10yr avg

S.N P/E*

EM

16.5

21.6

8.5

7.6

22.1

11.2

10.2

9.4

6.6

19.8

11.4

11.0

11.6

11.2

11.0

India

18.0

40.8

17.3

11.1

20.5

20.0

16.7

13.3

 

 

10.2

17.3

16.7

15.6

17.4

Philippines

38.0

26.5

14.1

 

 

16.2

 

 

21.5

12.6

14.9

16.9

18.1

16.8

15.4

Malaysia

12.2

27.3

12.5

28.2

33.2

14.8

 

15.7

13.8

23.0

13.6

15.7

15.7

15.1

15.8

Chile

22.4

17.7

15.7

14.5

 

21.1

 

15.3

 

28.6

11.5

15.4

15.6

15.7

17.5

Indonesia

13.6

25.0

14.4

8.1

29.0

17.3

 

12.2

12.2

16.8

15.1

15.1

15.0

14.1

14.0

Greece

11.5

 

36.3

 

 

 

 

15.8

 

15.8

 

13.8

19.8

15.1

18.6

Thailand

25.0

24.1

10.1

10.4

30.6

34.1

13.7

9.2

20.6

19.0

18.4

13.8

13.9

12.5

14.1

Peru

 

 

13.2

 

 

 

 

15.7

 

 

 

13.8

13.2

12.8

17.1

Mexico

20.1

21.2

8.6

 

 

14.7

 

9.4

10.0

15.0

13.6

13.6

17.2

16.2

11.3

Czech

 

 

11.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

17.9

13.5

13.8

12.1

14.3

Qatar

 

 

12.9

 

 

17.0

 

 

 

12.1

12.8

13.4

12.6

11.6

13.1

S Africa

15.1

18.1

10.9

5.2

11.3

13.9

 

10.0

10.2

19.2

 

13.2

14.9

13.2

11.2

Taiwan

15.4

23.8

10.2

16.6

235.2

14.3

12.9

12.3

 

22.6

 

12.9

13.2

14.2

13.9

Brazil

23.6

20.0

12.0

8.6

16.0

21.4

9.6

8.4

20.2

13.6

12.6

11.8

11.7

11.2

12.5

Poland

20.5

25.2

12.2

10.3

 

 

 

7.0

 

26.2

 

11.8

12.3

11.9

13.5

Colombia

 

 

10.1

10.2

 

 

 

31.7

 

 

10.3

11.3

12.5

14.8

14.6

China

19.3

19.0

6.0

8.8

16.9

7.8

13.2

5.9

5.1

20.5

10.4

10.3

10.8

10.8

9.3

Hungary

 

 

9.9

8.4

14.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

10.0

10.8

9.8

12.2

UAE

 

 

10.2

 

 

11.3

 

 

5.0

16.2

 

9.0

12.2

10.9

11.4

Korea

9.0

16.4

5.9

7.6

65.0

10.4

7.1

8.3

 

17.6

16.1

8.5

9.5

9.5

8.4

Egypt

 

8.2

8.3

 

 

8.4

 

 

 

 

 

8.3

10.3

9.3

9.1

Pakistan

 

 

7.9

6.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7.1

8.8

7.9

9.7

Turkey

9.0

18.0

4.5

6.1

 

6.2

 

5.3

 

8.2

 

6.2

8.4

8.9

6.1

Russia

 

12.7

4.8

5.2

 

 

 

8.3

 

8.3

4.8

5.6

5.8

6.0

6.3

Frontier

16.6

20.7

9.9

9.8

13.1

11.4

27.5

9.7

18.2

14.0

10.6

9.5

10.6

9.8

9.5

Vietnam

 

21.8

15.6

 

 

9.3

 

5.8

19.4

 

14.3

16.4

16.4

14.0

15.2

Morocco

8.9

15.5

14.9

 

 

 

 

20.3

 

20.0

 

16.4

16.5

14.9

17.3

Estonia

 

 

 

 

 

14.0

 

 

 

 

 

14.8

10.7

9.1

11.8

Bangladesh

 

 

13.1

 

14.6

 

 

 

 

14.3

 

14.4

13.7

13.2

16.1

Saudi Arabia

15.6

23.0

12.5

13.7

20.1

11.7

 

13.8

23.7

18.0

15.0

14.1

13.4

12.7

14.9

Croatia

14.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

13.1

 

13.6

12.1

11.2

11.6

Sri Lanka

 

16.2

 

 

 

11.8

 

 

 

 

 

12.1

12.1

13.1

11.5

Argentina

22.5

 

8.6

13.9

 

8.9

27.5

18.6

 

12.4

8.7

11.6

10.0

8.4

11.3

Slovenia

 

 

9.4

 

10.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

10.2

10.8

11.6

12.7

Bahrain

 

 

8.8

 

 

 

 

6.3

 

 

 

8.6

8.7

8.6

11.3

Kenya

 

14.6

5.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

13.0

 

8.4

11.1

10.6

7.1

Kuwait

 

 

10.8

 

 

 

 

1.1

10.2

12.6

 

7.5

11.7

11.6

7.3

Mauritius

 

 

7.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7.3

10.2

9.2

10.1

Jordan

 

 

7.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7.2

8.3

8.7

10.0

Lithuania

 

 

6.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7.0

7.7

14.4

9.4

Romania

 

 

7.2

5.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

12.0

6.6

9.4

8.7

9.4

Oman

 

 

6.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

5.7

 

6.2

8.5

8.8

7.8

Nigeria

 

19.4

3.8

7.3

 

 

 

10.9

 

 

 

5.7

8.1

8.5

5.7

Kazakhstan

 

 

4.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

15.0

 

5.0

6.7

6.4

6.0

*Sector Neutral P/E

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EM Sector neutral 12M fwd P/E vs actual 12M fwd P/E

 

 

 

FM Sector neutral 12M fwd P/E vs actual 12M fwd P/E

 

 

 

Sector neutral 12M fwd P/E

12M fwd P/E

 

 

 

Sector neutral 12M fwd P/E

12M fwd P/E

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

Vietnam SaudiArabia

Slovenia Estonia Croatia

SriLanka Bahrain Argentina

Mauritius Jordan

 

Oman Kuwait Kenya

Kazakhstan Nigeria

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Morocco Bangladesh

Frontier Romania Lithuania

Greece Chile India Peru Malaysia Philippines Colombia Czech Thailand Indonesia Taiwan Poland Qatar Brazil Hungary UAE Mexico AfricaS EM Pakistan China Egypt Korea Russia Turkey

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MSCI EM vs DM 12M fwd P/E (x)

 

 

EM 12M fwd P/E (x)

 

18

 

DM 12M fwd P/E (x)

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-06

Jan-08

Jan-10

Jan-12

Jan-14

Jan-16

Jan-18

MSCI EM 12M fwd P/E (x) prem/disc. to DM

 

10%

 

EM premium/discount to DM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

+1 SD

 

-10%

 

 

 

 

 

 

-20%

 

 

 

 

avg

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-30%

 

 

-1 SD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-40%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-06

Jan-07 Jan-08

Jan-09 Jan-10

Jan-11 Jan-12

Jan-13 Jan-14

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17

Jan-18 Jan-19

MSCI FM vs EM 12M fwd P/E (x)

 

 

 

FM 12M fwd P/E (x)

 

 

14

 

 

EM 12M fwd P/E (x)

 

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-10

Jan-11

Jan-12

Jan-13

Jan-14

Jan-15

Jan-16

Jan-17

Jan-18

Jan-19

MSCI FM 12M fwd P/E (x) prem/disc. to EM

 

 

30%

 

FM premium/discount to EM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10%

 

 

 

 

 

+1 SD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-10%

 

 

 

 

 

avg

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-20%

 

 

 

-1 SD

 

 

 

 

 

-30%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-10

Jan-11

Jan-12

Jan-13

Jan-14

Jan-15

Jan-16

Jan-17

Jan-18

Jan-19

Source: Bloomberg

104

vk.com/id446425943

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

Top and bottom 30 - EM ($)

 

 

 

 

 

Best/Worst

12MF

 

 

 

 

Best/Worst

12MF

Name

Ticker

 

Country

Sector

-1m

P/E (x)

Name

Ticker

 

Country

Sector

2018

P/E (x)

Viromed

084990

KQ

Korea

Healthcare

29.4

 

Tjiwi Kimia

TKIM IJ

 

Indonesia

Materials

255.7

7.0

China Tower Co-H

788 HK

 

China

Communications

27.5

40.8

Fila Korea Ltd

081660

KP

Korea

Cons. Disc.

214.9

14.0

Anglogold Ashanti

ANG SJ

S Africa

Materials

26.4

15.1

Yihai Internatio

1579 HK

China

Cons. Staples

154.2

28.2

Rural Electrification

RECL IS

India

Financials

22.4

 

China Ding Yi Fe

612 HK

 

China

Financials

144.4

 

Amorepacific

090430

KP

Korea

Cons. Staples

22.0

24.7

Daewoo Shipbldg

042660

KP

Korea

Industrials

136.0

15.3

CP Indonesia

CPIN IJ

 

Indonesia

Cons. Staples

19.8

26.8

CP Indonesia

CPIN IJ

 

Indonesia

Cons. Staples

125.4

26.8

Indiabulls Housing Fin.

IHFL IS

 

India

Financials

19.4

7.1

Irb Brasil Resse

IRBR3 BS

Brazil

Financials

109.6

17.3

Gold Fields

GFI SJ

 

S Africa

Materials

18.3

19.7

Indah Kiat Pulp

INKP IJ

 

Indonesia

Materials

100.1

6.9

Alfa

ALFAA MM

Mexico

Industrials

18.3

10.7

Jiayuan Internat

2768 HK

China

Real Estate

98.9

 

Samsung Biologics

207940

KP

Korea

Healthcare

17.5

 

Hlb Inc

028300

KQ

Korea

Cons. Disc.

98.6

 

GAP Airports

GAPB MM

Mexico

Industrials

17.2

17.8

Magazine Luiza S

MGLU3 BS

Brazil

Cons. Disc.

92.7

44.5

Amplats

AMS SJ

S Africa

Materials

17.0

16.1

B2W Cia Digital

BTOW3 BS

Brazil

Cons. Disc.

75.0

 

China First Capi

1269

HK

China

Cons. Disc.

17.0

 

Suzano Papel

SUZB3 BS

Brazil

Materials

73.9

7.2

Perfect World -A

002624

C2

China

Communications

16.8

15.3

Cemig (P)

CMIG4 BS

Brazil

Utilities

72.2

10.1

Telekom Malaysia

T MK

 

 

Malaysia

Communications

15.4

17.4

Bukit Asam Tbk P

PTBA IJ

Indonesia

Energy

63.6

9.1

Hdc Hyundai Deve

294870

KP

Korea

Industrials

15.3

 

Alibaba Health

241 HK

 

China

Healthcare

60.4

225.3

JG Summit

JGS PM

Philippines

Industrials

15.3

16.9

Qatar Islamic Bk.

QIBK QD

Qatar

Financials

57.1

14.5

Buenaventura

BVN UN

Peru

Materials

14.7

18.0

Kingdee Intl Sft

268 HK

 

China

IT

56.9

38.4

Tsingtao Brew-A

600600

C1

China

Cons. Staples

14.4

26.1

Qatar National Bk.

QNBK QD

Qatar

Financials

55.2

12.7

Amorepacific (P)

090435

KP

Korea

Cons. Staples

14.3

 

Ql Resources Bhd

QLG MK

Malaysia

Cons. Staples

53.8

43.6

Shandong Gold-A

600547

C1

China

Materials

13.1

35.5

Posco Chemtech

003670

KQ

Korea

Materials

53.7

19.8

Amorepacific Grp.

002790

KP

Korea

Cons. Staples

12.6

25.4

Viromed

084990

KQ

Korea

Healthcare

49.4

 

Ultrapar

UGPA3 BS

Brazil

Energy

12.5

19.7

Gs E&C

006360

KP

Korea

Industrials

48.5

6.5

Interglobe Aviat

INDIGO IS

India

Industrials

12.3

19.8

China First Capi

1269 HK

China

Cons. Disc.

47.0

 

ASUR

ASURB MM

Mexico

Industrials

12.1

16.9

Hyundai E&C

000720

KP

Korea

Industrials

44.5

12.1

Elswedy Electri

SWDY EC

Egypt

Industrials

12.1

8.4

Guangdong Investment

270 HK

 

China

Utilities

44.4

18.4

KEPCO

015760

KP

Korea

Utilities

12.0

19.9

Walsin Tech

2492 TT

Taiwan

IT

42.5

 

China Yangtze-A

600900

C1

China

Utilities

12.0

15.4

Novatek

NVTK LI

Russia

Energy

42.3

13.0

Bharat Petroleum

BPCL IS

India

Energy

11.9

8.2

Grupa Lotos

LTS PW

Poland

Energy

41.6

11.0

Sise Cam

SISE TI

 

Turkey

Industrials

11.6

6.2

Nestle Malaysia

NESZ MK

Malaysia

Cons. Staples

40.3

45.2

China Galaxy Securities

6881

HK

China

Financials

-15.8

10.2

Wuhu Shunrong-A

002555

C2

China

Communications

-56.5

11.0

Brilliance China

1114

HK

China

Cons. Disc.

-15.8

3.7

China Literature

772 HK

 

China

Communications

-56.6

21.5

Sinopec

386 HK

 

China

Energy

-16.0

8.7

Kingsoft

3888 HK

China

IT

-56.7

17.3

Shenzhen Salub-A

002294

C2

China

Healthcare

-16.6

12.1

Boe Technology-A

000725

C2

China

IT

-57.0

13.9

Walsin Tech

2492

TT

Taiwan

IT

-17.0

 

360 Security T-A

601360

C1

China

IT

-57.7

30.4

China Taiping

966 HK

 

China

Financials

-17.1

6.5

Focus Media In-A

002027

C2

China

IT

-57.8

11.0

Baozun Inc-Adr

BZUN UW

China

Cons. Disc.

-17.2

20.5

O-Film Tech Co-A

002456

C2

China

IT

-57.8

9.0

Sina Corp

SINA UW

China

Communications

-17.2

16.6

Sanan Optoelec-A

600703

C1

China

IT

-57.9

11.1

Shanghai Pharma

2607

HK

China

Healthcare

-17.6

8.4

Aspen Pharmacare

APN SJ

 

S Africa

Healthcare

-58.1

8.2

AAC Tech

2018

HK

China

IT

-18.1

10.2

Tus-Sound Envi-A

000826

C2

China

Industrials

-58.3

8.0

Jiangsu Hengru-A

600276

C1

China

Healthcare

-18.5

40.1

Telekom Malaysia

T MK

 

Malaysia

Communications

-58.5

17.4

O-Film Tech Co-A

002456

C2

China

IT

-19.0

9.0

Kroton Educacional

KROT3 BS

Brazil

Cons. Disc.

-58.8

9.0

Damac

DAMAC DB

UAE

Real Estate

-19.2

5.9

Win Semiconductors

3105 TT

Taiwan

IT

-59.5

17.7

Sanan Optoelec-A

600703

C1

China

IT

-19.8

11.1

Baic Motor-H

1958 HK

China

Cons. Disc.

-59.5

4.6

Wuhu Shunrong-A

002555

C2

China

Communications

-20.1

11.0

China Medical

867 HK

 

China

Healthcare

-60.1

7.1

Sihuan Pharma

460 HK

 

China

Healthcare

-21.3

7.5

Hangzhou Robam-A

002508

C2

China

Cons. Disc.

-60.3

11.7

Huadong Medici-A

000963

C2

China

Healthcare

-21.6

13.3

Kangmei Pharma-A

600518

C1

China

Healthcare

-61.0

6.1

Gds Hldgs - Adr

GDS UQ

China

IT

-21.7

 

China Huarong

2799 HK

China

Financials

-61.3

4.2

Zhongan Online-H

6060

HK

China

Financials

-21.9

 

Anxin Trust Co-A

600816

C1

China

Financials

-62.1

13.3

Genscript Biotec

1548

HK

China

Healthcare

-22.4

69.8

Goertek Inc -A

002241

C2

China

IT

-62.5

12.7

Globalwafers

6488

TT

Taiwan

IT

-22.6

7.9

Tata Motors

TTMT IS

India

Cons. Disc.

-63.4

9.1

Wuxi Biologics C

2269

HK

China

Healthcare

-23.6

61.5

Resilient

RES SJ

 

S Africa

Real Estate

-63.8

 

Momo

MOMO UW

China

Communications

-24.2

9.5

Zhongan Online-H

6060 HK

China

Financials

-63.9

 

Sino Biopharm

1177

HK

China

Healthcare

-27.8

17.4

Citic Guoan-A

000839

C2

China

Communications

-66.8

 

Ssy Group Ltd

2005 HK

China

Healthcare

-27.8

14.9

AAC Tech

2018 HK

China

IT

-67.5

10.2

CSPC Pharma

1093

HK

China

Healthcare

-28.7

16.2

Cielo

CIEL3 BS

Brazil

IT

-67.7

9.7

Meitu

1357

HK

China

IT

-32.7

 

Idea Cellular

IDEA IS

 

India

Communications

-68.0

 

Hutchison Ch-Adr

HCM UW

China

Healthcare

-33.0

 

Fortress Income B

FFB SJ

 

S Africa

Real Estate

-70.4

7.8

Tatung

2371

TT

Taiwan

Cons. Disc.

-35.4

 

Brilliance China

1114 HK

China

Cons. Disc.

-72.2

 

Fullshare Holdings

607 HK

 

China

Industrials

-39.2

 

Meitu

1357 HK

China

IT

-79.9

 

Source: Bloomberg

105

vk.com/id446425943

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

Top and bottom 30 - EMEA ($)

 

 

 

Best/Worst

12MF

 

 

 

Best/Worst

12MF

Name

Ticker

Country

Sector

-1m

P/E (x)

Name

Ticker

Country

Sector

2018

P/E (x)

Anglogold Ashanti

ANG SJ

S Africa

Materials

26.4

15.1

Qatar Islamic Bk.

QIBK QD

Qatar

Financials

57.1

14.5

Gold Fields

GFI SJ

S Africa

Materials

18.3

19.7

Qatar National Bk.

QNBK QD

Qatar

Financials

55.2

12.7

Amplats

AMS SJ

S Africa

Materials

17.0

16.1

Novatek

NVTK LI

Russia

Energy

42.3

13.0

Elswedy Electri

SWDY EC

Egypt

Industrials

12.1

8.4

Grupa Lotos

LTS PW

Poland

Energy

41.6

11.0

Sise Cam

SISE TI

Turkey

Industrials

11.6

6.2

CD Projekt

CDR PW

Poland

Communications

38.6

41.5

Kumba Iron Ore

KIO SJ

S Africa

Materials

10.7

11.5

Industries Qatar

IQCD QD

Qatar

Industrials

38.1

17.0

Grupa Lotos

LTS PW

Poland

Energy

8.8

11.0

First Abu Dhabi Bk.

FAB DH

UAE

Financials

37.6

11.9

PGN

PGN PW

Poland

Energy

8.0

10.4

Comm. Bk. Qatar

CBQK QD

Qatar

Financials

36.7

10.8

Telkom SA

TKG SJ

S Africa

Communications

8.0

11.0

Amplats

AMS SJ

S Africa

Materials

31.1

16.1

Polyus

PLZL RX

Russia

Materials

8.0

8.3

Tatneft

TATN RX

Russia

Energy

27.5

7.4

Polymetal

POLY RX

Russia

Materials

5.8

9.6

Barwa

BRES QD

Qatar

Real Estate

25.0

 

Is Bank

ISCTR TI

Turkey

Financials

5.3

5.0

Lukoil

LKOH RX

Russia

Energy

24.0

5.8

Motor Oil-Hellas

MOH GA

Greece

Energy

5.0

8.4

Rosneft

ROSN RX

Russia

Energy

22.8

5.6

MBank

MBK PW

Poland

Financials

4.7

14.5

Anglogold Ashanti

ANG SJ

S Africa

Materials

21.7

15.1

Reinet Investmen

RNI SJ

S Africa

Financials

4.6

11.7

Elswedy Electri

SWDY EC

Egypt

Industrials

21.0

8.4

DP World

DPW DU

UAE

Industrials

4.5

11.1

Abu Dhabi Comm. Bk.

ADCB DH

UAE

Financials

20.0

8.8

Sappi

SAP SJ

S Africa

Materials

4.4

7.9

Surgutneftegas (P)

SNGSP RX

Russia

Energy

15.8

4.4

Barwa

BRES QD

Qatar

Real Estate

4.4

 

Telkom SA

TKG SJ

S Africa

Communications

13.3

11.0

Fortress Income A

FFA SJ

S Africa

Real Estate

4.0

12.0

Dino Polska

DNP PW

Poland

Cons. Staples

12.3

25.5

Abu Dhabi Comm. Bk.

ADCB DH

UAE

Financials

4.0

8.8

Masraf Al Rayan

MARK QD

Qatar

Financials

10.7

14.5

Masraf Al Rayan

MARK QD

Qatar

Financials

3.9

14.5

Alrosa

ALRS RX

Russia

Materials

8.7

7.0

First Abu Dhabi Bk.

FAB DH

UAE

Financials

3.7

11.9

Ezdan Holding

ERES QD

Qatar

Real Estate

7.7

 

JSW Coal

JSW PW

Poland

Materials

3.4

5.8

Motor Oil-Hellas

MOH GA

Greece

Energy

6.5

8.4

Exxaro

EXX SJ

S Africa

Energy

3.3

5.5

Qatar Electricity

QEWS QD

Qatar

Utilities

4.2

12.8

PZU

PZU PW

Poland

Financials

3.3

11.6

CEZ

CEZ CK

Czech

Utilities

1.8

17.9

CD Projekt

CDR PW

Poland

Communications

3.3

41.5

PGN

PGN PW

Poland

Energy

1.4

10.4

Qatar Electricity

QEWS QD

Qatar

Utilities

2.7

12.8

Norilsk Nickel

GMKN RX

Russia

Materials

-0.5

8.7

Spar

SPP SJ

S Africa

Cons. Staples

2.6

17.6

Gazprom

GAZP RX

Russia

Energy

-2.7

3.0

Etisalat

ETISALAT DH

UAE

Communications

2.2

16.1

Polyus

PLZL RX

Russia

Materials

-2.8

8.3

BIM

BIMAS TI

Turkey

Cons. Staples

2.0

19.3

Etisalat

ETISALAT DH

UAE

Communications

-3.0

16.1

Shoprite

SHP SJ

S Africa

Cons. Staples

-6.7

18.2

JSW Coal

JSW PW

Poland

Materials

-35.5

5.8

Comm. Bk. Qatar

CBQK QD

Qatar

Financials

-6.7

10.8

Kumba Iron Ore

KIO SJ

S Africa

Materials

-35.7

11.5

CCC

CCC PW

Poland

Cons. Disc.

-7.3

18.5

CCC

CCC PW

Poland

Cons. Disc.

-37.4

18.5

Sberbank

SBER RX

Russia

Financials

-7.3

4.7

Alior Bank

ALR PW

Poland

Financials

-38.3

8.2

OPAP

OPAP GA

Greece

Cons. Disc.

-7.4

12.3

MOEX

MOEX RX

Russia

Financials

-38.5

8.7

Tupras

TUPRS TI

Turkey

Energy

-7.5

6.2

Anadolu Efes

AEFES TI

Turkey

Cons. Staples

-39.1

13.8

Hellenic Telecomms

HTO GA

Greece

Communications

-7.7

15.7

Hyprop Investments

HYP SJ

S Africa

Real Estate

-40.1

10.2

Foschini Group

TFG SJ

S Africa

Cons. Disc.

-7.9

13.4

VTB

VTBR RX

Russia

Financials

-40.2

3.2

Gazprom

GAZP RX

Russia

Energy

-8.1

3.0

Emaar Properties

EMAAR DB

UAE

Real Estate

-40.5

4.4

Emaar Properties

EMAAR DB

UAE

Real Estate

-8.2

4.4

Ford Otomotiv

FROTO TI

Turkey

Cons. Disc.

-40.6

8.3

Resilient

RES SJ

S Africa

Real Estate

-8.4

 

Alpha Bank

ALPHA GA

Greece

Financials

-41.4

9.3

Ford Otomotiv

FROTO TI

Turkey

Cons. Disc.

-8.4

8.3

Turkcell

TCELL TI

Turkey

Communications

-43.7

8.3

InterRao

IRAO RX

Russia

Utilities

-8.6

4.9

MTN

MTN SJ

S Africa

Communications

-43.9

11.3

Koc Holding

KCHOL TI

Turkey

Industrials

-8.6

6.2

Koc Holding

KCHOL TI

Turkey

Industrials

-45.0

6.2

Investec

INL SJ

S Africa

Financials

-8.6

8.5

Aselsan

ASELS TI

Turkey

Industrials

-45.8

8.2

Severstal

CHMF RX

Russia

Materials

-9.2

7.1

Garanti

GARAN TI

Turkey

Financials

-46.8

4.8

Sabanci Holding

SAHOL TI

Turkey

Financials

-9.5

3.4

Arcelik As

ARCLK TI

Turkey

Cons. Disc.

-47.5

9.8

Aselsan

ASELS TI

Turkey

Industrials

-10.7

8.2

Eregli

EREGL TI

Turkey

Materials

-48.4

4.8

Pick N Pay

PIK SJ

S Africa

Cons. Staples

-10.8

19.9

Tiger Brands

TBS SJ

S Africa

Cons. Staples

-48.7

14.2

Emaar Developmen

EMAARDEV DB

UAE

Real Estate

-10.9

4.2

Petkim

PETKM TI

Turkey

Materials

-48.9

6.8

Alpha Bank

ALPHA GA

Greece

Financials

-10.9

9.3

Akbank

AKBNK TI

Turkey

Financials

-50.1

5.1

MMK

MAGN RX

Russia

Materials

-11.2

8.7

Sabanci Holding

SAHOL TI

Turkey

Financials

-51.6

3.4

Aspen Pharmacare

APN SJ

S Africa

Healthcare

-11.3

8.2

Halk Bank

HALKB TI

Turkey

Financials

-53.4

3.5

Akbank

AKBNK TI

Turkey

Financials

-11.3

5.1

Magnit

MGNT LI

Russia

Cons. Staples

-53.5

13.2

Hyprop Investments

HYP SJ

S Africa

Real Estate

-11.6

10.2

Is Bank

ISCTR TI

Turkey

Financials

-53.5

5.0

Eastern Tobacco

EAST EC

Egypt

Cons. Staples

-12.0

8.2

Damac

DAMAC DB

UAE

Real Estate

-54.2

5.9

VTB

VTBR RX

Russia

Financials

-12.5

3.2

NEPI

NRP SJ

S Africa

Real Estate

-54.4

11.7

MOEX

MOEX RX

Russia

Financials

-12.7

8.7

Aspen Pharmacare

APN SJ

S Africa

Healthcare

-58.1

8.2

PGE

PGE PW

Poland

Utilities

-13.6

7.0

Resilient

RES SJ

S Africa

Real Estate

-63.8

 

Damac

DAMAC DB

UAE

Real Estate

-19.2

5.9

Fortress Income B

FFB SJ

S Africa

Real Estate

-70.4

7.8

Source: Bloomberg

106

vk.com/id446425943

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

Top and bottom 30 - FM ($)

 

 

 

Best/Worst

12MF

 

 

 

Best/Worst

12MF

Name

Ticker

Country

Sector

-1m

P/E (x)

Name

Ticker

Country

Sector

2018

P/E (x)

Bupa Arabia

BUPA AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

14.9

15.3

United Power Gen

UPGO BD

Bangladesh

Utilities

108.3

 

Riyad Bank

RIBL AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

13.3

12.0

Riyad Bank

RIBL AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

58.5

12.0

FBN Holdings

FBNH NL

Nigeria

Financials

12.1

3.7

Vingroup

VIC VM

Vietnam

Real Estate

46.1

31.8

Ciments Du Maroc

CMA MC

Morocco

Materials

12.0

 

Boubyan Petroch

BPCC KK

Kuwait

Materials

44.7

1.1

Valamar Riviera

RIVPRA ZA

Croatia

Cons. Disc.

10.7

14.3

Jarir Marketing

JARIR AB

Saudi Arabia

Cons. Disc.

38.1

18.1

Saudi Telecom

STC AB

Saudi Arabia

Communications

10.6

18.6

Bahrain Telecom

BATELCO BI

Bahrain

Communications

37.3

 

Alinma Bank

ALINMA AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

10.3

13.6

Al Rajhi Bank

RJHI AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

35.4

14.0

BIDV

BID VM

Vietnam

Financials

10.2

16.3

Boubyan Bank

BOUBYAN KK

Kuwait

Financials

34.1

28.4

Bank Albilad

ALBI AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

9.4

14.2

Saudi Telecom

STC AB

Saudi Arabia

Communications

33.8

18.6

Seplat

SEPLAT NL

Nigeria

Energy

8.7

6.0

Samba Financial Group

SAMBA AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

33.6

12.1

FLC Faros Const.

ROS VM

Vietnam

Industrials

8.1

 

Bao Viet Holdings

BVH VM

Vietnam

Financials

33.5

32.7

Saigon Beer

SAB VM

Vietnam

Cons. Staples

7.6

28.2

Bank Albilad

ALBI AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

33.0

14.2

Mouwasat Medical

MOUWASAT AB

Saudi Arabia

Healthcare

7.3

20.1

BIDV

BID VM

Vietnam

Financials

32.1

16.3

Arab National Bank

ARNB AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

7.1

9.2

National Petrochem

PETROCH AB

Saudi Arabia

Materials

31.1

10.7

Soc Gen Cote d'Ivoire

SGBC BC

Ivory Coast

Financials

7.0

 

Bupa Arabia

BUPA AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

30.6

15.3

Bahrain Telecom

BATELCO BI

Bahrain

Communications

6.9

 

Nat'l Comm. Bank

NCB AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

30.3

12.4

Nat'l Comm. Bank

NCB AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

6.3

12.4

Arab National Bank

ARNB AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

29.1

9.2

Aerodrom Nikola Tesla

AERO SG

Serbia

Industrials

6.0

 

Alawwal Bank

ALAWWAL AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

27.5

14.0

Solidere - B

SOLB LB

Lebanon

Real Estate

5.6

 

No Va Land

NVL VM

Vietnam

Real Estate

26.5

 

Saudi Cement

SACCO AB

Saudi Arabia

Materials

5.6

19.1

Saudi Kayan Petchem

KAYAN AB

Saudi Arabia

Materials

23.6

11.6

Al Eqbal

EICO JR

Jordan

Cons. Staples

5.4

 

Bank Al-Jazira

BJAZ AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

23.1

12.3

Arab Bank

ARBK JR

Jordan

Financials

5.4

7.2

Globant

GLOB UN

Argentina

IT

21.2

29.3

Saudi Arabian Mining

MAADEN AB

Saudi Arabia

Materials

5.4

29.3

Saudi British Bank

SABB AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

20.9

11.0

LafargeHolcim Maroc

LHM MC

Morocco

Materials

5.2

 

Alinma Bank

ALINMA AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

20.1

13.6

Emp Distrib-Adr

EDN UN

Argentina

Utilities

5.1

7.4

Nat'l Bank of Kuwait

NBK KK

Kuwait

Financials

19.6

12.3

Krka

KRKG SV

Slovenia

Healthcare

4.7

10.5

Saudi Industrial

SIIG AB

Saudi Arabia

Materials

19.4

8.2

Loma Negra C-Adr

LOMA UN

Argentina

Materials

4.6

17.1

Saudi Arabian Fertilizer

SAFCO AB

Saudi Arabia

Materials

18.4

16.6

Kcell Jsc

KCEL LI

Kazakhstan

Communications

4.4

15.5

Ceylon Tobacco

CTC SL

Sri Lanka

Cons. Staples

18.2

15.9

Consumar

CSR MC

Morocco

Cons. Staples

3.8

15.1

Kuwait Finance House

KFH KK

Kuwait

Financials

16.1

15.4

Boubyan Bank

BOUBYAN KK

Kuwait

Financials

3.8

28.4

Rabigh Refining

PETROR AB

Saudi Arabia

Energy

16.0

14.7

Hoa Phat Group

HPG VM

Vietnam

Materials

-6.3

5.9

EABL

EABL KN

Kenya

Cons. Staples

-25.6

14.5

Bao Viet Holdings

BVH VM

Vietnam

Financials

-6.6

32.7

UBA

UBA NL

Nigeria

Financials

-26.0

2.8

Rabigh Refining

PETROR AB

Saudi Arabia

Energy

-6.6

14.7

Al Tayyar

ALTAYYAR AB

Saudi Arabia

Cons. Disc.

-26.0

11.0

EABL

EABL KN

Kenya

Cons. Staples

-6.9

14.5

Saudi Electricity

SECO AB

Saudi Arabia

Utilities

-28.1

15.0

Unilever Nigeria

UNILEVER NL

Nigeria

Cons. Staples

-7.1

16.7

Vincom Retail

VRE VM

Vietnam

Real Estate

-29.0

18.0

Vietjet

VJC VM

Vietnam

Industrials

-7.9

9.5

Petrolimex

PLX VM

Vietnam

Energy

-30.8

 

Petrolimex

PLX VM

Vietnam

Energy

-8.1

 

Savola

SAVOLA AB

Saudi Arabia

Cons. Staples

-32.2

26.1

Saudi Industrial

SIIG AB

Saudi Arabia

Materials

-8.5

8.2

Vietnam Dairy

VNM VM

Vietnam

Cons. Staples

-32.4

23.9

Vincom Retail

VRE VM

Vietnam

Real Estate

-8.6

18.0

Transportador Gas

TGS UN

Argentina

Energy

-32.5

10.3

Siauliu Bankas

SAB1L LH

Lithuania

Financials

-8.9

6.8

Oman Telecom

OTEL OM

Oman

Communications

-34.7

5.0

Halyk Savings Bank

HSBK LI

Kazakhstan

Financials

-9.2

4.1

Sonatel

SNTS BC

Senegal

Communications

-35.1

9.1

Telecom Argentina

TEO UN

Argentina

Communications

-9.4

13.3

Access Bank

ACCESS NL

Nigeria

Financials

-35.5

2.0

Pampa Energia

PAM UN

Argentina

Utilities

-9.5

9.1

Tawuniya

TAWUNIYA AB

Saudi Arabia

Financials

-36.1

20.8

Tallink Grupp

TAL1T ET

Estonia

Industrials

-9.6

16.1

Nigerian Breweries

NB NL

Nigeria

Cons. Staples

-37.2

18.0

Sonatel

SNTS BC

Senegal

Communications

-10.1

9.1

Dar Al Arkan

ALARKAN AB

Saudi Arabia

Real Estate

-37.4

23.7

YPF

YPF UN

Argentina

Energy

-10.6

16.4

Soc Gen Cote d'Ivoire

SGBC BC

Ivory Coast

Financials

-38.9

 

Tasnee

NIC AB

Saudi Arabia

Materials

-11.0

9.5

GFH Financial

GFH DB

Bahrain

Financials

-39.9

 

Equity Group

EQBNK KN

Kenya

Financials

-11.2

5.8

Emaar Economic City

EMAAR AB

Saudi Arabia

Real Estate

-41.4

 

Ecobank

ETI NL

Nigeria

Financials

-12.1

3.1

YPF

YPF UN

Argentina

Energy

-41.6

16.4

Access Bank

ACCESS NL

Nigeria

Financials

-12.1

2.0

Emp Distrib-Adr

EDN UN

Argentina

Utilities

-45.6

7.4

Managem

MNG MC

Morocco

Materials

-12.5

20.3

Managem

MNG MC

Morocco

Materials

-47.3

20.3

Total Maroc Sa

TMA MC

Morocco

Cons. Disc.

-13.3

9.1

Total Maroc Sa

TMA MC

Morocco

Cons. Disc.

-50.3

9.1

Electrica

EL RE

Romania

Utilities

-14.2

11.9

Loma Negra C-Adr

LOMA UN

Argentina

Materials

-51.7

17.1

Banca Transilvania

TLV RE

Romania

Financials

-15.1

6.7

Pampa Energia

PAM UN

Argentina

Utilities

-52.7

9.1

Corp America Air

CAAP UN

Argentina

Industrials

-16.9

9.0

Despegar.Com Cor

DESP UN

Argentina

Cons. Disc.

-54.8

66.6

Despegar.Com Cor

DESP UN

Argentina

Cons. Disc.

-16.9

66.6

Banco Frances

BFR UN

Argentina

Financials

-55.0

9.5

BRD

BRD RE

Romania

Financials

-18.3

7.1

Telecom Argentina

TEO UN

Argentina

Communications

-57.5

13.3

OMV

SNP RE

Romania

Energy

-18.9

5.1

Grupo Galicia

GGAL UR

Argentina

Financials

-58.1

11.1

GFH Financial

GFH DB

Bahrain

Financials

-20.2

 

Banco Macro

BMA UN

Argentina

Financials

-61.8

7.1

SNG

SNG RE

Romania

Energy

-22.2

6.8

FLC Faros Const.

ROS VM

Vietnam

Industrials

-75.0

 

Note: Universe is MSCI Frontier and Saudi Arabia

Source: Bloomberg

107

vk.com/id446425943

Liquidity watch

3MADTV, $mn

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current

-1m

% chg

-12m

% chg

12M Trend

China

19,241

19,705

-2%

31,706

-39%

 

Korea

7,454

8,007

-7%

11,134

-33%

 

India

4,038

4,454

-9%

4,273

-5%

 

Taiwan

3,880

4,259

-9%

5,212

-26%

 

Brazil

3,091

2,999

3%

2,028

52%

 

S Africa

1,338

1,521

-12%

1,741

-23%

 

Turkey

1,236

1,422

-13%

1,917

-36%

 

Thailand

1,111

1,318

-16%

1,608

-31%

 

Russia

920

1,046

-12%

1,087

-15%

 

Indonesia

429

405

6%

405

6%

 

Mexico

363

385

-6%

376

-3%

 

Poland

220

236

-7%

265

-17%

 

Malaysia

209

235

-11%

260

-20%

 

Chile

137

139

-1%

174

-21%

 

UAE

96

96

0%

123

-22%

 

Philippines

86

77

11%

97

-12%

 

Qatar

54

55

-2%

48

12%

 

Greece

52

59

-12%

66

-21%

 

Pakistan

48

49

-3%

56

-15%

 

Hungary

45

45

-1%

43

6%

 

Peru

41

35

17%

49

-15%

 

Colombia

40

44

-10%

42

-5%

 

Egypt

32

34

-5%

43

-25%

 

Czech

25

28

-8%

24

7%

 

Saudi Arabia

863

889

-3%

954

-10%

 

Vietnam

116

143

-19%

200

-42%

 

Argentina

81

100

-19%

135

-40%

 

Kuwait

68

62

11%

43

57%

 

Bangladesh

66

71

-7%

75

-12%

 

Morocco

23

10

121%

15

56%

 

Jordan

16

5

213%

6

172%

 

Serbia

12

8

41%

14

-18%

 

Romania

12

9

23%

9

30%

 

Nigeria

9

8

6%

15

-43%

 

Sri Lanka

6

5

7%

5

8%

 

Kenya

5

6

-11%

6

-12%

 

Oman

4

4

-10%

7

-53%

 

Bahrain

3

4

-17%

2

41%

 

Tunisia

2

1

8%

1

14%

 

Lebanon

1

1

12%

1

12%

 

Kazakhstan

1

1

34%

6

-79%

 

Slovenia

1

1

24%

1

-17%

 

Croatia

1

1

2%

1

18%

 

WAEMU

1

1

13%

2

-55%

 

Mauritius

1

1

-14%

2

-53%

 

Estonia

1

1

5%

1

13%

 

Lithuania

0

0

15%

0

1%

 

Note: local market turnover. Peru, Russia, Kazakhstan and Argentina include DRs

Renaissance Capital

14 January 2019

ESG

China 3MADTV, $mn

China 3MADTV, $mn

160,000

140,000

120,000

100,000

80,000

60,000

40,000

20,000

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

EM Asia ex-China 3MADTV, $mn

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

28,000

 

 

 

EM Asia ex-China 3MADTV, $mn

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

26,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

24,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

22,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

18,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

EM EMEA and LatAm 3MADTV, $mn

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10,000

 

EM EMEA 3MADTV, $mn

 

 

EM LatAm 3MADTV, $mn

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Frontier 3MADTV, $mn

Frontier 3MADTV, $mn

1,000

800

600

400

200

0

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Source: Bloomberg

108