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Еремеев А.П., Чибизова Н.В. Методическое пособие по курсу «Экспертные системы».doc
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      1. Пример использования системы

Рассмотрим пример построения ЭС по выбору мобильного телефона. ЭС позволяет получить несколько результатов запроса, в разной степени удовлетворяющих условиям, задаваемым пользователем. Определяются компромиссные варианты, используя механизмы обработки весов получаемых ответов на некое количество «наводящих» вопросов. Тип обработки и вес каждого ответа заданы с учетом особенностей темы, с которой работает система, и позволяют подбирать наиболее адекватные варианты ответов.

Для вычисления степени удовлетворения условиям использована схема сложения вероятностей независимых событий с ранжированием от –100 до +100. Поскольку разные вопросы могут иметь большее или меньшее значение при выборе телефона, то ответы на вопросы отличаются по весу. Помимо этого, модели, обладающие более редкими характеристиками, при их выборе получают несколько большую вероятность. Варианты, не набравшие 60/100, отбрасываются.

В табл. 2.1 приведен список квалификатор и некоторые из правил, описывающие действия системы при выбранных пользователем условиях.

Таблица 2.1

Квалификаторы

Некоторые из правил

Qualifier #1

Select the price range for your telephone?

  1. not more than $130

  2. $130-$200

  3. $200-$300

  4. $300-$400

  5. more $400

RULE NUMBER: 1

IF: Select the price range for your telephone? Not more than $130

THEN: Alcatel One Touch Club – Probability=50/100

and Ericsson T10s – Probability=50/100

and Ericsson A1018s – Probability=50/100

and Motorola CD 930 – Probability=50/100

and Siemens A35 – Probability=50/100

and – Probability=50/100

Qualifier #2

Select the size for you telephone?

  1. not more then 110mm

  2. 110-120mm

  3. more 120mm

RULE NUMBER: 8

IF: Select the size for you telephone? more 120mm

THEN: Alcatel one Touch Club – Probability=20/100

and Ericsson A1018s – Probability=20/100

and Motorola CD 930 – Probability=20/100

and Motorola L7089 – Probability=20/100

and Motorola Timeport 250 – Probability=20/100

and Nokia 3210 – Probability=20/100

and Nokia 6250 – Probability=20/100

and Nokia 7110 – Probability=20/100

and Panasonic GD93 – Probability=20/100

Qualifier #3

Weight?

  1. not more then 90g

  2. 90-140g

  3. more 140g

RULE NUMBER: 11

IF: Weight? more 140g

THEN: Alcatel one Touch Club – Probability=20/100

and Ericsson T10s – Probability=20/100

and Ericsson T18s – Probability=20/100

and Motorola CD 930 – Probability=20/100

and Nokia 3210 – Probability=20/100

and Nokia 6250 – Probability=20/100

and Nokia 7110 – Probability=20/100

and Ericsson A1018s – Probability=20/100

Qualifier #4

The work time in standby mode?

  1. near 5 days

  2. 5-10 days

  3. more 10 days

RULE NUMBER: 14

IF: The work time in standby mode? more 10 days

THEN: Nokia 3210 – Probability=40/100

and Nokia 3310 – Probability=40/100

and Nokia 6250 – Probability=40/100

and Nokia 7110 – Probability=40/100

Qualifier #5

Call duration?

  1. 3-4 hour

  2. 4-5 hour

  3. 5-6 hour

  4. more 6 hour

RULE NUMBER: 18

IF: Call duration? more 6 hour

THEN: Ericsson T20s – Probability=50/100

and Nokia 3310 – Probability=20/100

and Siemens S35i – Probability=20/100

and Siemens SL45 – Probability=20/100

Qualifier #6

Antenna?

  1. out-antenna

  2. a built-in antenna

RULE NUMBER: 20

IF: Antenna? a built-in antenna

THEN: Nokia 3210 – Probability=10/100

and Nokia 3310 – Probability=10/100

and Nokia 6250 – Probability=10/100

and Nokia 8210 – Probability=10/100

and Nokia 8850 – Probability=10/100

and Siemens M35i – Probability=10/100

and Siemens S35i – Probability=10/100

and Siemens SL45 – Probability=10/100

Qualifier #7

Flip?

  1. No

  2. N/active

  3. Active

RULE NUMBER: 22

IF: Flip? N/active

THEN: Ericsson T10s – Probability=25/100

and Samsung SGH N100 – Probability=25/100

Qualifier #8

Alarm?

  1. Yes

  2. No

RULE NUMBER: 25

IF: Alarm? No

THEN: Siemens A35 – Probability=15/100

and Siemens C25 – Probability=15/100

Qualifier #9

Vibro?

  1. Yes

  2. No

RULE NUMBER: 27

IF: Vibro? No

THEN: Alcatel One Touch 300 and – Probability=5/100

and Alcatel One Touch Club – Probability=5/100

and Benefon Twin+ – Probability=5/100

and Ericsson A1018s – Probability=5/100

and Nokia 3210 – Probability=5/100

and Bosh GSM 909 Dual S – Probability=5/100

and Siemens A35 – Probability=5/100

and Siemens C25 – Probability=5/100

Qualifier #10

Calculator?

  1. Yes

  2. No

RULE NUMBER: 29

IF: Calculator? No

THEN: Alcatel One Touch 300 and – Probability=10/100

and Ericsson A1018s – Probability=10/100

and Motorola CD 930 – Probability=10/100

and Siemens A35 – Probability=10/100

and Siemens C25 – Probability=10/100

Qualifier #11

Speaker phone?

  1. Yes

  2. No

RULE NUMBER: 30

IF: Speaker phone? Yes

THEN: Ericsson T18s – Probability=10/100

and Ericsson A20s – Probability=10/100

and Panasonic GD90 – Probability=10/100

and Panasonic GD92 – Probability=10/100

and Panasonic GD93 – Probability=10/100

and Siemens SL45 – Probability=10/100

Qualifier #12

Voice dialing?

  1. Yes

  2. No

RULE NUMBER: 32

IF: Voice dialing? Yes

THEN: Ericsson T18s – Probability=15/100

and Ericsson T20s – Probability=15/100

and Motorola L7089 – Probability=15/100

and Nokia 3310 – Probability=15/100

and Nokia 3310 – Probability=15/100

and Samsung SGH A100 – Probability=15/100

and Siemens S35i – Probability=15/100

and Siemens SL45 – Probability=15/100

and Nokia 8210 – Probability=15/100

and Nokia 8850 – Probability=15/100

and Ericsson T28s – Probability=15/100

Qualifier #13

IR-port?

  1. Yes

  2. No

RULE NUMBER: 34

IF: IR-port? Yes

THEN: Motorola L7089 – Probability=40/100

and Motorola Timeport 250 – Probability=40/100

and Nokia 6250 – Probability=40/100

and Nokia 7110 – Probability=40/100

and Nokia 8850 – Probability=40/100

and Nokia 8210 – Probability=40/100

and Siemens SGH A100 – Probability=40/100

and Siemens S35i – Probability=40/100

and Siemens SL45 – Probability=40/100

Qualifier #14

WAP?

  1. Yes

  2. No

RULE NUMBER: 36

IF: WAP? Yes

THEN: Benefon Q – Probability=30/100

and Ericsson T20s – Probability=30/100

and Motorola Timeport 250 – Probability=30/100

and Nokia 6250 – Probability=30/100

and Nokia 7110 – Probability=30/100

and Panasonic GD93 – Probability=30/100

and Samsung SGH N100 – Probability=30/100

and Siemens M35i – Probability=30/100

and Siemens S35i – Probability=30/100

and Siemens SL45 – Probability=30/100

Qualifier #15

Display?

  1. less 4 str

  2. 4 str

  3. 5 str

  4. more 5 str

RULE NUMBER: 41

IF: Display? more 5 str

THEN: Benefon Q – Probability=20/100

and Nokia 7110 – Probability=30/100

and Nokia 8850 – Probability=30/100

and Panasonic GD92 – Probability=30/100

and Siemens S35i – Probability=30/100

and Siemens SL45 – Probability=30/100

Пример работы с системой

  1. Select the price range for your telephone? not more than $130

  2. Select the size for you telephone? 110-120mm

  3. Weight? more 140g

  4. The work time in standby mode? near 5 days

  5. Call duration? 4-5 hour

  6. Antenna? out-antenna

  7. Flip? No

  8. Alarm? No

  9. Vibro? No

  10. Calculator? No

  11. Speaker phone? No

  12. Voice dialing? No

  13. IR-port? No

  14. WAP? No

  15. Display? less 4 str

Результат:

  1. Siemens C25 93

  2. Siemens A35 91

  3. Ericsson A1018s 82

  4. Motorola CD 930 79

  5. Alcatel One Touch Club 73

  6. Ericsson T10s 73

  7. Nokia 3310 71

  8. Benefon Twin+ 70

  9. Bosh GSM 909 Dual S 70