Акимов - Статистика
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' " ." !, "( " ,$
% ( $ $ ).
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D ,
/ 60. '
71
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72 |
1800 |
1682 |
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1600 |
1597 |
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1400 |
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1359 |
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1200 |
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1000 |
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! |
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800 |
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600 |
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400 |
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200 |
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0 |
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01.01.2002 |
01.01..2003 |
01.01.2004 |
/7 / 0%%-/ 0 !% 8$9/ 0 : ;%& /&! /0%/ !% < &!%< ! /0 !&
350 |
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300 |
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250 |
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200 |
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150 |
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100 |
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50 |
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0 |
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2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
/ 61. A
72
$ . .
73
$ - ! - , $ .
! ! & B (- ! B (( ! ! ) -$ -
$ . .
- ! $.
! ! ! B ( ! B ( :B ! ) -
/ 62.
73
74
!
( B & — ! , - # !, " ! - , $ .
+ : ) ! , (-!, -$ " ! -.
— # ! , $ .
!,($ ( ($).
( B ! 1% !,$ # , !(.
&.# |
; = ; – ; |
– 1; |
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;i |
= ;i |
– ;i |
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K = ; / ; . |
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&.# |
Ki = ;i / ; . |
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i – 1 |
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G = · 100%.
/ G = (;i – ; ) / ; · 100%.&.# G = (;i – ;i – 1) / ; i - 1 · 100%. B G = G – 100%.
>i = (;i – ;i – 1) / [(;i – ;i – 1) / ;i – 1 · 100%] = = ;i 1 / 100 = 0,01 ;i – 1.
/ 63.
74
75
$, & |
@ & |
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= (;i · ti) / ti, |
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= ; / n |
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= (;1 / 2+ ; 2 + … + |
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+ ; n – 1 + ;n / 2) / (n - 1). |
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/ 64. &
75
! ! -
76
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= i / (n – 1), |
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n — |
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= 1 · 2 · … · n – 1, |
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% & ' . |
i — # ! - |
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' ($ ! |
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@$ — $ |
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= 1 |
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! $ # ! , - |
! < 100 |
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$ |
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— # # |
G G 100% |
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100% |
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/ 65. &
76
* .
;$ ( # !
D |
1999 |
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2004 |
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& $, #/ |
30 |
38 |
40 |
43 |
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44 |
48 |
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% |
, $ 1990 |
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77 |
&% = : *% , )/8 |
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60 |
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50 |
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40 |
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30 |
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20 |
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10 |
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0 |
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1999 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
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# , / |
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1999 $ |
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E & ,, :/ |
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30 |
38 |
40 |
43 |
44 |
48 |
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$ |
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#- |
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— |
2 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
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$ y yi yi 1 |
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$ y yi y+ |
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8 |
10 |
13 |
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18 |
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G , % #$ |
— |
— |
105,3 |
107,5 |
102,3 |
109,1 |
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Tp |
yi |
100 |
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yi 1 |
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$ Tp |
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yi |
100 |
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— |
126,7 |
133,3 |
143,3 |
146,7 |
160,0 |
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y+ |
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G , % #- |
— |
— |
5,3 |
7,5 |
2,3 |
9,1 |
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$ G = G – 100 |
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$ G = G – 100 |
— |
26,7 |
33,3 |
43,3 |
46,7 |
60,0 |
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B |
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1 % |
— |
— |
0,38 |
0,4 |
0,43 |
0,44 |
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>i = yi – 1 · 0,01 |
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/ 66. D
77
78
0 #
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D |
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- |
# |
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’- |
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’- |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
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1 |
37 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
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2 |
42 |
112 |
— |
37,3 |
— |
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3 |
33 |
120 |
215 |
40,0 |
43,0 |
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4 |
45 |
136 |
233 |
45,3 |
46,6 |
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5 |
58 |
158 |
247 |
52,7 |
49,4 |
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6 |
55 |
169 |
284 |
56,3 |
56,8 |
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7 |
56 |
181 |
308 |
60,3 |
61,6 |
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8 |
70 |
195 |
324 |
65,0 |
64,8 |
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9 |
69 |
213 |
324 |
71,0 |
64,8 |
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10 |
74 |
214 |
— |
71,3 |
— |
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11 |
71 |
— |
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— |
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80 |
&% = !&<: : < /: ) ;, ="% 8 % |
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70 |
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60 |
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50 |
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40 |
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30 |
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20 |
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10 |
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0 |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
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$' /% /0 /& |
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$ |
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'’% $ |
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! : 37 + 42 + 33 = 112, |
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= 37,3 |
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$ |
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! ’ , : 37 + 42 + 33 + 45 + 58 = 215; |
! m – 1 |
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' =43. |
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/ 67. ;
78
* .0^t = b0 + b1 · t
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; |
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;^t |
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/ # |
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· t |
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i |
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& . |
507 |
–5 |
25 |
–2535 |
484 |
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79 |
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F . |
545 |
–4 |
16 |
–2180 |
539 |
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+ . |
588 |
–3 |
9 |
–1764 |
593 |
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. |
639 |
–2 |
4 |
–1278 |
647 |
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G . |
689 |
–1 |
1 |
–689 |
700 |
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J . |
740 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
754 |
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F . |
800 |
1 |
1 |
800 |
808 |
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. |
857 |
2 |
4 |
1714 |
862 |
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H . |
915 |
3 |
9 |
2745 |
915 |
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F . |
976 |
4 |
16 |
3904 |
969 |
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A . |
1039 |
5 |
25 |
5195 |
1023 |
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D |
8295 |
0 |
110 |
5912 |
8295 |
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;i = b0 · n + b1 ti;
;i · ti = b0 · ti + b1 · ti2.
$ $
b0 = ;i / n =8295 / 11 = 754,09 b1 = ;i · t / t2 = 5912 / 110 = 53,74
D ! ;^t = 754,09 + 53,74 · t.
? :$
;^(t = 6) = 754,09 + 53,74 · 6 = 1077 ;^(t = 7) = 75409 + 53,74 · 7 = 1130
/ 68. B
79
80
? :
' $! # , " - , & '.
1. , " # , -
$+
2. G # " ! (
/ 69. ' #
80