International finances
There are THREE major issues concerning INTERNATIONAL aspects of the financial situation in the Developing World.
# FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI)
The financial resources from abroad form an important (in some cases, major) component in the formation of the INVESTMENT FUNDS which ANY developing country can use. However, SOME countries get PLENTY of foreign direct investment, and SOME get NONE at all. It is connected BOTH with OBJECTIVE factors (like their resource base, geographical conditions, population stock, etc.), and with SUBJECTIVE ones (like the political orientation of their governments).
For example, the FLOW of foreign direct investment (FDI) to all of Africa in 1996 amounted to $2.5 billion (of which 80 percent went to South Africa), while India alone received the same sum of FDI ($2.5 billion) that very year.
At the end of the century, the accumulated STOCK of FDI in developing countries amounted to about $300 billions, or ONEFOURTH of the world's total. About HALF of these FDI was placed in then dynamic and already mainly industrialized ASIA, while the LEAST DEVELOPED countries, for example, could attract less than 2 percent only. The share of the leading TEN developing countries housing FDI amounted to exactly TWOTHIRDS, an indicator of VERY HIGH concentration of PRIVATE FOREIGN BUSINESS in the most attractive places in the Developing World.
On the eve of Asian crisis, in 1997, according to the World Bank, the current AMOUNT of private longterm resource flows to developing countries (including some other forms of financing besides FDI) rose to $256 billion, from $247 billion in 1996 and $189 billion in 1995. In 1998, when Asian crisis was in full swing, the figures characterizing such private financial flows went slightly down. On the background of a strong overall investment surge, the share going to developing countries dropped sharply to 28 percent from 37 percent in 1997. Some similar phenomena have been observed also during the recent GLOBAL CRISIS.
It is interesting to notice that nowadays the MOST SUCCESSFUL of the Developing World countries (in East Asia and Latin America) have their own TNC with their own FDI engaged mostly in ELECTRONICS and other MANUFACTURING. However, the DEGREE of INTERNATIONALIZATION characterizing their activity, i.e., the shares of FOREIGN assets, sales and employment, were considerably LOWER than those of TNC representing the capital of industrial (developed) countries.
In 2005, the INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT FLOWS in the world surged to almost $900 billion, an increase of about 29 percent over 2004. The biggest rise (of 38 percent) characterized the FDI going to WEALTHY (RICH) nations. The most successful region of the developing world – Asia – received an investment of $173 billion, a rise of 11 percent over the previous year. China alone received about $60 billion of new FDI (same level as in 2004). India saw inflows jump 12 percent to estimated $6 billion, while the new investment to South Korea and Malaysia went slightly down. All in all, the distribution of the new FDI in the world remains very UNEVEN, with the developing countries taking only a rather MODEST share, while some of them going on receiving NO foreign investment at all.
# INTERNATIONAL DEBT
During the last decades of the 20th century, the situation on the INTERNATIONAL LOAN MARKETS was extremely FAVORABLE for the developing countries to BORROW on a MASSSCALE (let us name one factor only – virtually giant reserves of the socalled "PETRODOLLARS" which asked for opportunities for their "RECYCLING", i.e. for their use as investment funds promising good profits).
By the end of the 1990s, the CUMULATIVE DEBT of the Developing World exceeded $2 trillion. Among the BIGGEST debtors were Brazil and Mexico belonging to the group of the socalled "severelyindebted middleincome countries" (SIMIC).
However, in the WORST position were 41 "highlyindebted poor countries" (HIPC). Here, debt repayments were eating up most of the money that such poorest borrowers earned abroad. Uganda's debt was THREE times its annual export income, Ethiopia's 10 times, Mozambique's 13 times. In SubSaharan Africa, where 33 of the 41 HIPC were located, governments were spending FOUR times as much on DEBT REPAYMENT to rich countries as on HEALTH and EDUCATION services for their own people. Most of the HIPC have already paid back MORE than the TOTAL of original loans in INTEREST, but stay deep in debt nevertheless.
Approximately HALF of the INTERNATIONAL DEBT of the developing countries is the result of the socalled "official borrowing" (intergovernment loans and loans of MULTILATERAL economic organizations, like the IMF and the World Bank with all its affiliations).
However, at the end of 1997, BANKS in rich countries (mainly Europe, the United States and Japan) had almost $1 trillion in LOANS to poor countries (their banks, firms and governments), estimates the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). Specifically, this PRIVATE part of INTERNATIONAL INDEBTEDNESS grew dramatically on the eve of the financial crisis in Asia, i.e., in 199697.
As early as in the middle of the 1980s, it became clear: the international debt is NOT only VERY BIG and RAPIDLY GROWING, but it is mostly NONREPAYABLE (in other words, over time the amount of the socalled "BED DEBTS" has grown dramatically).
If you owe the bank a SMALL AMOUNT of money and you can't pay it, then YOU are in trouble. However, if a COUNTRY owes the bank an ENORMOUS AMOUNT of money and it can't pay it, then the BANK is in trouble.
Exactly that happens right now, and BOTH SIDES – the developing countries (debtors) and the developed countries (creditors) – are looking for COMPROMISES and eventual JOINT SOLUTIONS of the whole set of problems connected with the phenomenon of INTERNATIONAL INDEBTEDNESS. All in all, there are 45 “SEVERELY INDEBTED” countries in the world (2005 figures), 43 – “MODERATELY INDEBTED” and 47 “LESS INDEBTED”.
It is the socalled "Paris Club", where official creditors meet to RESCHEDULE the LONGTERM DEBT payments that forms the center of activity aimed at the solution. (For private creditors/debtors negotiations such role is played by the London Club.) Some parts of the official and private INDEBTEDNESS are being sold and resold by the creditorcountries (banks) on the capital market (for ONETHIRD of the debt's sum, and LESS). Some parts of debt are being converted to EQUITY SHARES of public and private enterprises in the debtorcountries (the socalled "DebtForEquity Swaps", widely used in Latin America).
Still, INTERNATIONAL INDEBTEDNESS remains one of major factors burdening the newlyemerging nationstates and holding back their industrial development. It is also "BIG HEADACHE" for Western creditors.
On the eve of the year 2000, the Group of Seven, or the G 7 (which, as you know, includes the United States, Canada, Britain, France, Germany, Italy and Japan), made a decision concerning radical DEBT RELIEF measures for the majority of the aforementioned HIPC – "highlyindebted poor countries". Really, to set the POOR free from their unbearable debt burden seemed to be an appropriate way to celebrate the turn of the century. However, it was agreed to write off only $50 billion of debt owed by 36 HIPC, while the total amount actually owed by all HIPC was estimated at $219 billion. The next big step has been taken only in 2005, when the socalled Heavy Indebted Poor Countries Initiative has been jointly proclaimed by the Group of Seven, the World Bank and the IMF – offering (however, on a strictly selective basis) a DEBT RELIEF of up to 100 percent to some of the world’s POOREST nations.
# INTERNATIONAL AID
Of course, the FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT is major factor assisting economic development around the world. But the international LONGTERM ASSISTANCE in different forms may NOT be disregarded as well.
The MAIN form of modern FINANCIAL AID is represented by the socalled OFFICIAL DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE (ODA) – GRANTS and LOANS to the developing countries issued on BILATERAL basis. The most substantial contributions of this kind are usually made by Japan, the United States, France and Germany – the leading members of the socalled Development Assistance Committee (DAC) including 22 industrial nations. After several decades as No. 1 on the ODA donors list, recently Japan has slid to the SECOND position, while its ODA donations in 2004 amounted to$8,859 billion.
The absolute sums of BILATERAL AID are rather BIG, but FAR from the even revised (more moderate) GOAL set by the UNO: according to its recommendations, each major industrial country should devote to international aid NOT LESS than 0.7 percent of its GNI. However, only Norway, the Netherlands, Sweden and Denmark have come close to this share or even overstep it. Until lately, Japan's ODA has represented only about 0.2 percent of its GNI, and in 2004 it has even gone down to 0.19 percent. For a comparison, in American case, this ratio has been even much lower – about 0.12 percent, actually.
The BIGGEST share (about ONETHIRD) of all ODA is usually being received by the POOREST countries of SubSaharan Africa – and this money comes mostly from European donors. As for Japan, it supplies more than HALF of all ODA resources going to Asia and about ONEQUARTER – to Latin America, while in financial assistance to other regions (Middle East, Africa, Oceania) its share is more MODEST.
The SECOND most important form of international FINANCIAL and TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE is represented by commitments of MULTILATERAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS like International Monetary Fund (IMF), like International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD, or World Bank). The "World Bank group" including several international agencies acting in close cooperation with the IBRD, as well as several "Regional Development Banks and "UN Operational Agencies" (see Topic 6) distribute considerable sums of financial aid on REGIONAL and WORLDWIDE basis.
In the course of Asian crisis, the International Monetary Fund played an especially important, albeit controversial, role in fighting the regional "FINANCIAL MELTDOWN" and preventing further DEVALUATION of Asian currencies by pooling together considerable "BAILOUT" packages, also called "RESCUE" packages, for Indonesia, South Korea and Thailand. In contrast, during the recent GLOBAL CRISIS, financial assistance to the developing nations has been regretfully negligent in size.
In February 2001, the 15nation European Union decided to completely ELIMINATE tariffs for ALL imports – both INDUSTRIAL and AGRICULTURAL – from LEASTDEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LLDC, at that time estimated at 49 in number), excluding tariffs for ARMS imports alone. By the way, it annoyed Japan whose preference tariff system for LLDC does NOT include a huge chunk of FARM imports.
In May 2001, a UN Conference on Least Developed Countries, cohosted by the European Union, has gathered in Brussels. It was the THIRD such conference, following TWO previous which had taken place in Paris in 1980 and 1991. The conference has drawn delegates from 157 nations, including all 49 LLDC, 114 nongovernment organizations, and the World Bank, IMF and WTO. It adopted a 10year PROGRAM aimed at finishing the cycle of poverty and despair of the world’s poorest countries and bringing them into the economic mainstream. However, the program amounted mostly to “broad strokes”, i.e., BASIC PRINCIPLES, while SPECIFIC MEASURES were SPARSE (very FEW, actually).
* Regional Economic Cooperation. Trying to UNITE their efforts in achieving main national goals typical for any developing country (like industrialization, development of markets, creation of industrial and social infrastructure, stabilizing prices for primary products, etc.), neighboring states in different regions often undertake JOINT actions. Typically, it happens on a permanent basis, through the creation of REGIONAL ASSOCIATIONS – mostly of the FREE TRADE AREA type.
*This mode of economic behavior and policymaking on a REGIONAL (or SUBREGIONAL) basis has become ESPECIALLY TYPICAL for Latin America where several GROUP ARRANGEMENTS are in action with different degree of success.
LATIN AMERICA INTEGRATION ASSOCIATION (LAIA / ALADI)
The FIRST, and at one time the most ambitious, of Latin American arrangements, the Latin American Free Trade Association, at the beginning NOT as successful as anticipated, has been substantially reorganized in 1980 and renamed the Latin America Integration Association.
Nowadays, the Latin American Integration Association / Asociación Latinoamericana de Integración / Associação LatinoAmericana de Integração (LAIA / ALADI) is an international and regional scope organization. It was created on 12 August 1980 by the 1980 Montevideo Treaty, replacing the Latin American Free Trade Association (LAFTA / ALALC). Currently, it has 13 member countries, and any of the Latin American States may apply for accession.
The integration processes within the framework of the LAILA / ALADI aim at promoting harmonious and balanced socioeconomic development of the region, and its longterm objective is the gradual and progressive establishment of a LATINAMERICAN COMMON MARKET. So far, however, LAIA represents merely an "AREA OF ECONOMIC PREFERENCES” – NOT even a "FREE TRADE AREA".
One of the more important aspects of this treaty is the differential treatment of member countries according to their level of economic development. There are THREE levels under the LAIA framework:
"MOREDEVELOPED COUNTRIES" (MDC) – Argentina, Brazil and Mexico
"LESSDEVELOPED COUNTRIES" (LDC) – Chile, Colombia, Venezuela, Peru and Paraguay
"LEASTDEVELOPED COUNTRIES" (LLDC) – Bolivia, Ecuador and Uruguay.
The differential benefits are designated for the LLDC and LDC by application of the "principle of NONRECIPROCAL treatment" when they sign BILATERAL trade arrangements with the MDC.
As for MDC, their most important benefits consist in possibility to use more CHEAP sources of imports and in opening new export markets.
Obviously, this arrangement has led to improved economic relations among the member states. Negotiations have lowered TARIFFS on selected products and eased trade tensions over such NONTARIFF TRADE BARRIERS as quotas, local content requirements, and import licenses.
There exist some lists of market openings offered by the richer countries in favor of the Relatively Less Economically Developed Countries (the new name for the former LDC and LLDC); special programs of cooperation (business rounds, preinvestment, financing, technological support); countervailing measures in favor of the landlocked countries, the full participation of which in the integration process is sought. The LAIA includes in its legal structure several subregional, plurilateral (multilateral) and bilateral integration agreements arising in growing numbers on the continent. As a result, the LAIA / ALADI – as an institutional and legal framework or “umbrella” of the regional integration – develops actions in order to support and foster these efforts for the progressive establishment of a common economic space.
The 1980 Montevideo Treaty is open to the accession of any LatinAmerican country. On 26 August 1999, the first accession to the 1980 Montevideo Treaty was executed, with the incorporation of the Republic of Cuba as a member country of the LAIA. On 10 May 2012, the Republic of Panama became the thirteenth member country. Likewise, the accession of the Republic of Nicaragua was accepted in the Sixteenth Meeting of the Council of Ministers (Resolution 75 – XVI), held on 11 August 2011. Currently, Nicaragua moves towards the fulfillment of conditions for becoming a member country of the LAIA.
The LAIA opens its field of actions for the rest of Latin America through multilateral links or partial agreements with other countries and integration areas of the continent (Article 25). It also contemplates the horizontal cooperation with other integration movements in the world and partial actions with third developing countries or their respective integration areas (Article 27).
ANDEAN COMMUNITY OF NATIONS (CAN / ANCOM)
The Andean Community (Spanish: Comunidad Andina, CAN) is a customs union comprising the South American countries of Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru. The trade bloc was called the Andean Pact until 1996 and came into existence with the signing of the Cartagena Agreement in 1969. Its headquarters are located in Lima, Peru.
The Andean Community has 98 million inhabitants living in an area of 4,700,000 square kilometers, whose Gross Domestic Product amounted to US$745.3 billion in 2005, including Venezuela, who was a member at that time. Its estimated GDP PPP for 2011 amounts to US$902.86 billion, excluding Venezuela.
ANCOM is characterized by some INTERNAL economic aid to the weakest countries and sectoral development programs. However, in the FIRST period of its existence, in the 1970s (when it was still called Andean Common Market, however with the same abbreviation – ANCOM), excessive RESTRICTIONS on FOREIGN INVESTMENT have caused CONFLICTS among the member states and seriously undermined their weak financial base.
There was a rule which stipulated that FOREIGN COMPANIES were limited to the eventual REPATRIATION of only 20 percent of their DIRECT INVESTMENT CAPITAL and could NOT freely participate in the Andean market UNLESS they agreed to CONVERT to "mixed" or "national" status by taking on GOVERNMENT partners (practically, within a year). Later, this rule was SOFTENED, although GRADUAL transition from FOREIGN to MIXED or NATIONAL ownership (a typical element of the nationalist "DOMESTICATION" policies) is still required.
However, in the last decade, the ELIMINATION of all intraAndean TARIFFS and the INTRODUCTION of a COMMON external TARIFF – measures which transformed the ANCOM into a CUSTOMS UNION –are the two important features in the ANCOM activities that may encourage MORE TRADE within this "Andean pact" and away from the "third" countries.
Recently, with the new cooperation agreement with Mercosur, the Andean Community gained four new associate members: Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay. These four Mercosur members were granted associate membership by the Andean Council of Foreign Ministers meeting in an enlarged session with the Commission (of the Andean Community) on July 7, 2005. This moves reciprocates the actions of Mercosur which granted associate membership to all the Andean Community nations by virtue of the Economic Complementarity Agreements (Free Trade agreements) signed between the CAN and individual Mercosur members.
MERCOSUR
Mercosur or Mercosul (Spanish: Mercado Común del Sur, Portuguese: Mercado Comum do Sul, Guarani: Ñemby Ñemuha, English: Southern Common Market) is an economic and political agreement among Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, and Venezuela; with Bolivia becoming an acceding member on 7 December 2012 to be ratified by member state legislatures. It is a relatively NEW trade grouping of South American states. Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Peru, and Suriname currently have associate member status. Chile is an extremely successful NIC of the "second generation" characterized as "export powerhouse" in American press.
The purpose of Mercosur is to promote free trade and the fluid movement of goods, people, and currency. The official languages are Spanish, Portuguese and Guaraní. It has been updated, amended, and changed many times since. It is now a full customs union and thus a very effective trading bloc. Mercosur and the Andean Community of Nations are customs unions that are components of a continuing process of South American integration connected to the Union of South American Nations.
The mechanism of Mercosur aims at the coordination of macroeconomic and sectorial policies of member states relating to foreign trade, agriculture, industry, taxes, monetary system, exchange and capital, services, customs, transport and communications, and any others they may agree on, in order to ensure free competition between member states.
The commitment by the member states to make the necessary adjustments to their laws in pertinent areas to allow for the strengthening of the integration process. The Asunción Treaty is based on the doctrine of the reciprocal rights and obligations of the member states. Mercosur initially targeted freetrade zones, then customs unification, and finally a common market. The common market will allow (in addition to customs unification) the free movement of manpower and capital across the member nations, and the grating of equal rights and duties to all member countries. Because member states will implement the trade liberalization at different speeds, during the transition period the rights and obligations of each party will initially be equivalent but not necessarily equal.
In addition to the reciprocity doctrine, the Asunción Treaty also contains provisions for the mostfavored nation concept. Accordingly, after the common market is formed, member nations are to automatically extend to the other members any advantage, favor, entitlement, immunity or privilege granted to a product originating from or intended for countries that are not party to the Latin American Integration Association (LAIA).
It seems that Mercosure has good chances to survive and to be of much use for development of SUBREGIONAL trade. It is very active politically: for more than a decade, Mercosur has been negotiating a FREE TRADE AREA (FTA) arrangement with the European Union. Obviously, Mercosur regards the EU as a MODEL for its own further development, which may include a joint (single) currency sometime in the future. European INVESTMENT in Latin America has been growing rapidly and Mercosur looks like its preferred destination. From other countries, main trading partners of Mercosur are Israel and Egypt.
By the end of 1990s, it was also engaged in negotiations with its neighbors from Andean Community about an eventual FTA. There are signs that an unprecedented MERGER of the two trade groups is in the making.
Mercosur pays special attention to building up cooperation with Japan and other Asian countries in the framework of the APEC. In December 2007, Mercosur has concluded an FTA agreement with Israel. Also, an FTA with South Korea was in a preparation stage.
As for Chile, it has signed its own FREE TRADE AGREEMENT with the European Union in November 2002, slashing TARIFFS on twoway trade (almost $9 billion in 2001) and providing for increased POLITICAL COOPERATION.
* The Andean Community (CAN) and Mercosur comprise the two main trading blocs of South America. In 1999, these organizations began negotiating a merger with a view to creating a "South American Free Trade Area" (SAFTA). On December 8, 2004, the Andean Community (CAN) signed a cooperation agreement with Mercosur and they published a joint letter of intention for future negotiations towards integrating all of South America in a Union of South American Nations (USAN), patterned after the European Union. It was formally established by the May 23, 2008, Constitutive Treaty of the USAN signed in Brasília.
During 2005, Venezuela decided to join Mercosur. Venezuela's official position first appeared to be that, by joining Mercosur, further steps could be taken towards integrating both trade blocs. CAN Secretary General Allan Wagner stated that the Venezuelan Foreign Minister Alí Rodríguez had declared that Venezuela did not intend to leave the CAN, and its simultaneous membership to both blocs marked the beginning of their integration.
However some analysts interpreted that Venezuela might eventually leave the CAN in the process. As Colombia and Peru signed free trade agreements with the United States, in protest the Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez indeed announced in April 2006 his country's withdrawal from the CAN, stating that the Community is "dead". Officials in Colombia and Peru expressed their disagreement with this view, as did representatives from Venezuela's industrial sector (Conindustria).
In spite of this announcement, Venezuela still had not formally completed all the necessary withdrawal procedures. According to Venezuela's Commerce Minister María Cristina Iglesias, the entire process was going to take up five years. Until then, Venezuela and its partners would remain bound by the effects of the community's preexisting commercial agreements.
During a visit to Colombia in August 2007, President Hugo Chávez was asked by the presidents of Ecuador and Bolivia to rejoin the Andean Community of Nations, and he responded that he would agree. Meanwhile, at that time the Mercosur's relations with Venezuela were weakening as Mercosur was not agreeing with some of the Hugo Chávez's proposals.
Eventually Venezuela achieved the full membership of the Mercosur in 2012, making for the first time the Mercosur bigger in number of members than the CAN.