- •Consumption function
- •But in our analysis we shall include Government and Foreign components (g;t;m;X)
- •Withdrawals and Injections
- •1) Withdrawals function
- •2) Injections and their determinants
- •Determination of National Income
- •Factors of δ ,Conditions of Equilibrium
- •2) Multiplier Effect
- •2 Main practical conclusions from mult. Theory:
- •Keynesian analysis of the inflation & trade cycles
- •1. Inflation
- •2. Keynes explained business fluctuations by instability of investment
- •3. Mechanism of the Trade cycles
- •1. Terminology
- •2. Budget philosophies & growing national debt
- •1. Does national debt figures reflect the real burden for a country?
- •2. Can growing national debt leave to gnt bankruptcy?
- •Fiscal policy
- •1. Automatic/”built-in” stabilizers
- •Stabilizing effect of gnt transfer payments
- •2. Discretionary fiscal policy
- •3. Effectiveness of fiscal policy
Withdrawals and Injections
Withdrawals function
Injections function
1) Withdrawals function
W=S+T+M
Components of W |
Function |
mp and ap to… |
Non-income determinants |
1. S |
|
mps=ΔS/ΔY (marg prop to save) aps=S/Y (prop of Y saved) |
1)wealth and distribution of income, esp. if Y is redistributed from rich to poor S (poor start saving) 2)level of taxes, T the¯S 3)interest rate, r the S 4)expectations of future prices; the exp prices, ¯S (start to consume>now) |
2.T |
|
mpt= ΔT/ΔY (prop of Y payed in taxes) apt=T/Y (prop of Y paid in taxes) |
1)tax rate tax rates, tax contribution 2)size of underground economy und ec,tax contribution |
3. M |
|
mpm=ΔM/ΔY (proportion of increase in Y that goes abroad) apm=M/Y (prop of Y that goes abroad) |
1)relative prices; the prices abroad the ¯M 2)relative quality of g&s; the quality abroad M 3)relative interest rate; the r abroad the M of financial services 4)exchange rate; xr the more profit. For foreigners to import,so M 5)tastes; habits to buy imp.g&s, so M 6)total consumption; the expen. on con-n, expen. on con. of M resources (CM) |
4. W |
|
mpw= ΔW/ΔY (proport of increase of Y that is withdrawn from economy) mpw=mps+mpt+mpm apw=W/Y |
Combination of all determinants above |
2) Injections and their determinants
J=I+G+X
Main Determinants
X - Export |
depends on relative prices, qualities (look M) |
G- Gnt expenditure |
dif. to consider, depends on past (current) gnt policy, random events,no strong determinants of gnt policy |
I- Investement |
|
Determination of National Income
Equilibrium level of Y
The multiplier effect
The multiplier coefficient
1) Equilibrium level of Y - is a situation where there is no tendency for Δ in Y – the situation that can persist.
Factors of δ ,Conditions of Equilibrium
Leakage – injections approach when W=J; (S=I)-as economy is closed |
Aggregate expenditure – national output approach Y=E=AD (Y=C+I)-no G,X,M |
Y1<Y2J>WI>SG>TX>Mbusiness activity is encouraged (low tax, high G) encourage production of g&s Y the W becomeuntil W=J, equilibrium is restored. Only when J=W®no tendency for Y to Δ Y2 bus activity |
E=AD=Cd+J (exog. straight line). If Y1>YeY>E (produced goods>demand for them), a part of products is not sold, firms are discouraged to produce more®Y¯. Only when E=Y there is no tendency for Y to Δ |
Remarks:
W=J; let’s add Cd ® Cd + W = J + Cd ® Y=AD=E
Equilibrium level of Y doesn’t mean that Y is unchanged, because any Δ in W, J, E cause Δ in equilibrium level of Y.