nsfce

richer and richer. I 2 I			IIn the year 1963, a German
politician said	that 'within twenty years,				a full-scale
atomic war between the United States and the Soviet
Union will have		been fought,		mainly in Germany		.'

I 3

I

I

In the year 1969, an automation engineer working

for Max Factor

Cosmetics in Britain said that 'within

twenty or twenty-five years factories

that today

or ten

employ hundreds of workers will need only five

computer technicians to run them.'

I 4

I

I

In the same year,

an astrophysicist in Texas

predicted that

'now that man has at last set

foot on

the moon, other

space voyages

will soon take men to

1970s,

there were

Mars and other planets.' In the early

many predictions

that before the end of the century

most homes in the United Statei'

EroJe and Japan

I

would have computers in them.

5

of

Long before 1980,

it was predicted that instead

letting nature and luck choose their children's

characteristics,

people would have to decide

which

they wanted their children to inherit

characteristics

.

'I

from

them and previous generations in their families

I 6

I

IWe may be able to have

'undesirable'

f

characteristics changed or destroyed

through genetic

1

therapy. Perhaps

we may even begin to wish

that

was

right when he said that history

Bertrand Russell

teaches us that

the future is never like the future

we

imagine.

A

'By the end of the century,' he said,

'there will be

no poverty anywhere in the country

.'

B

According

to

the same predictions, this would

information

explosion' as well

as

result in 'an

changes in the way we

'radical and revolutionary

work, learn and do business.'

enormous

social

C

He added

that this

'will lead to

problems for unskilled manual workers in

particular, who will be unable to find work.'

D

He claimed that the scale of destruction would be

far greater than in World War

Two.

were

E

When this prediction came true, more people

killed than ever

before.

said this in

Bertrand Russell,

F

The philosopher,

in

1944, while the worst and most devastating war

history was

still being fought

.

with

G

If this prediction comes true, we will be faced

a much greater

responsibility

than ever before.

H

They were certain that this would not only

be 'far

cleaner than coal and other fossil fuels but

far safer

and much cheaper

.'

B

Go through the text again. This time, read

each

paragraph aloud

with the missing sentence in

place. Then discuss these

questions.

1

Which of the predictions have come true?

2

Which predictions have not, as far

as you know,

come true?

in

3

Which predictions do you think may come true

the future even if they have not come true so far?

LANGUAGE STUDY>

GS 13.3

A

Explain the difference between the two

sentences in each pair (1-4).

1

I'll do this

tomorrow.

.

I'll have done this by tomorrow

2

They will happen in the

year 2050.

They will have happened by the

year 2050.

3

We will be able to do this soon.

We may be able to do this soon.

4

We may be able

to change this.

.

We may be able to have this changed

B

Complete the second sentence in each pair.

Use

no more than five words including the word in

bold. Do

NOT change this

word.

1

It's possible

that this prediction will come true.

may

This prediction

true.

that this prediction has already come

2

It's possible

true

This prediction

_

may

true.

of

3

This prediction will come true before the end

the year.

_

have

This prediction

by the end of the

year.

the

4

We will have the ability to do these things in

future.

these things

able

We

in the future.

but I'm not sure.

5

Perhaps I can see you tomorrow,

you tomorrow

.

may

I

will have the ability to do these

6

Perhaps we

future.

things in

the

these things

may

We

in the future.

be possible for

an expert to do this

7

Perhaps it will

for us.

_._

have

We may

be able to _~~

_____

by an expert.

something in this

8

Perhaps you didn't understand

exercise.

everything

may

You

.

in this exercise

.

9

An expert will do this job for me tomorrow

by

I'll

an expert

tomorrow.

you

10 An expert will have done it for me before

come back

an expert before

by

I'll

you come back.

FOCUS ONE

UNIT 16

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