Baumol & Blinder MACROECONOMICS (11th ed)
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CONTENTS |
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Government Expenditures |
34 |
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Taxes in America 35 |
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The Government as Redistributor |
36 |
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CONCLUSION: IT’S A MIXED ECONOMY |
36 |
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Summary |
36 |
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Key Terms |
37 |
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Discussion Questions 37 |
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CHAPTER 3 THE FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC PROBLEM: SCARCITY AND CHOICE 39 |
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ISSUE: WHAT TO DO ABOUT THE BUDGET DEFICIT? |
40 |
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SCARCITY, CHOICE, AND OPPORTUNITY COST 40 |
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Opportunity Cost and Money Cost |
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Optimal Choice: Not Just Any Choice 42 |
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SCARCITY AND CHOICE FOR A SINGLE FIRM |
42 |
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The Production Possibilities Frontier 43 |
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The Principle of Increasing Costs |
44 |
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SCARCITY AND CHOICE FOR THE ENTIRE SOCIETY |
45 |
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Scarcity and Choice Elsewhere in the Economy |
45 |
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ISSUE REVISITED: COPING WITH THE BUDGET DEFICIT |
46 |
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THE CONCEPT OF EFFICIENCY |
47 |
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THE THREE COORDINATION TASKS OF ANY ECONOMY |
48 |
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SPECIALIZATION FOSTERS EFFICIENT RESOURCE ALLOCATION 48 |
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The Wonders of the Division of Labor |
48 |
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The Amazing Principle of Comparative Advantage |
49 |
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SPECIALIZATION LEADS TO EXCHANGE |
50 |
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MARKETS, PRICES, AND THE THREE COORDINATION TASKS 50 |
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LAST WORD: DON’T CONFUSE ENDS WITH MEANS |
52 |
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Summary 52
Key Terms 53
Test Yourself 53
Discussion Questions 53
CHAPTER 4 SUPPLY AND DEMAND: AN INITIAL LOOK 55
PUZZLE: WHAT HAPPENED TO OIL PRICES? |
56 |
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THE INVISIBLE HAND 56 |
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DEMAND AND QUANTITY DEMANDED 57 |
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The Demand Schedule 58 |
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The Demand Curve 58 |
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Shifts of the Demand Curve |
58 |
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SUPPLY AND QUANTITY SUPPLIED |
61 |
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The Supply Schedule and the Supply Curve 61 |
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Shifts of the Supply Curve 62 |
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SUPPLY AND DEMAND EQUILIBRIUM |
64 |
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The Law of Supply and Demand |
66 |
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EFFECTS OF DEMAND SHIFTS ON SUPPLY-DEMAND EQUILIBRIUM 66 |
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SUPPLY SHIFTS AND SUPPLY-DEMAND EQUILIBRIUM |
67 |
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THOSE LEAPING OIL PRICES: PUZZLE RESOLVED |
68 |
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Application: Who Really Pays that Tax? 69 |
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BATTLING THE INVISIBLE HAND: THE MARKET FIGHTS BACK 70 |
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Restraining the Market Mechanism: Price Ceilings |
70 |
Case Study: Rent Controls in New York City 72
Restraining the Market Mechanism: Price Floors 73
Case Study: Farm Price Supports and the Case of Sugar Prices 74
A Can of Worms 75
CONTENTS |
XI |
A SIMPLE BUT POWERFUL LESSON 76
Summary 76
Key Terms 77
Test Yourself 77
Discussion Questions 78
PART 2 |
THE MACROECONOMY: AGGREGATE SUPPLY AND DEMAND 81 |
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CHAPTER 5 AN INTRODUCTION TO MACROECONOMICS 83 |
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ISSUE: WHY DID GROWTH SLOW IN 2006-2007? |
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84 |
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DRAWING A LINE BETWEEN MACROECONOMICS AND MICROECONOMICS |
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Aggregation and Macroeconomics |
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84 |
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The Foundations of Aggregation |
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85 |
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The Line of Demarcation Revisited |
85 |
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SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN MACROECONOMICS |
85 |
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A Quick Review 86 |
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Moving to Macroeconomic Aggregates |
86 |
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Inflation 87 |
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Recession and Unemployment |
87 |
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Economic Growth 87 |
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GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT |
87 |
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Money as the Measuring Rod: Real versus Nominal GDP |
88 |
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What Gets Counted in GDP? 88 |
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Limitations of the GDP: What GDP Is Not |
90 |
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THE ECONOMY ON A ROLLER COASTER |
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91 |
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Growth, but with Fluctuations |
91 |
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Inflation and Deflation |
93 |
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The Great Depression |
94 |
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From World War II to 1973 95 |
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The Great Stagflation, 1973–1980 |
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96 |
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Reaganomics and Its Aftermath |
97 |
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Clintonomics: Deficit Reduction and the “New Economy” 97 |
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Tax Cuts and the Bush Economy |
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98 |
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ISSUE REVISITED: WAS IT GEORGE BUSH’S FAULT? |
99 |
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THE PROBLEM OF MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION: A SNEAK PREVIEW |
99 |
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Combating Unemployment 99 |
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Combating Inflation 100 |
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Does It Really Work? 100 |
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Summary |
101 |
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Key Terms |
102 |
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Test Yourself 102 |
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Discussion Questions 103 |
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CHAPTER 6 THE GOALS OF MACROECONOMIC POLICY |
105 |
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PART 1: THE GOAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH |
106 |
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PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH: FROM LITTLE ACORNS . . . 106 |
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ISSUE: IS FASTER GROWTH ALWAYS BETTER? 108 |
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THE CAPACITY TO PRODUCE: POTENTIAL GDP AND THE PRODUCTION FUNCTION 108 |
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THE GROWTH RATE OF POTENTIAL GDP |
109 |
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ISSUE REVISITED: IS FASTER GROWTH ALWAYS BETTER? |
110 |
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PART 2: THE GOAL OF LOW UNEMPLOYMENT |
111 |
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THE HUMAN COSTS OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT 112 |
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COUNTING THE UNEMPLOYED: THE OFFICIAL STATISTICS |
113 |
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TYPES OF UNEMPLOYMENT |
114 |
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XII CONTENTS
HOW MUCH EMPLOYMENT IS “FULL EMPLOYMENT”? 115 |
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UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE: THE INVALUABLE CUSHION |
115 |
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PART 3: THE GOAL OF LOW INFLATION |
116 |
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INFLATION: THE MYTH AND THE REALITY |
117 |
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Inflation and Real Wages |
117 |
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The Importance of Relative Prices |
119 |
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INFLATION AS A REDISTRIBUTOR OF INCOME AND WEALTH |
120 |
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REAL VERSUS NOMINAL INTEREST RATES |
120 |
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INFLATION DISTORTS MEASUREMENTS |
121 |
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Confusing Real and Nominal Interest Rates |
122 |
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The Malfunctioning Tax System |
122 |
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OTHER COSTS OF INFLATION |
122 |
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THE COSTS OF LOW VERSUS HIGH INFLATION |
123 |
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LOW INFLATION DOES NOT NECESSARILY LEAD TO HIGH INFLATION 125 |
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Summary 125 |
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Key Terms |
126 |
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Test Yourself |
126 |
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Discussion Questions 127 |
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APPENDIX: HOW STATISTICIANS MEASURE INFLATION |
127 |
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Index Numbers for Inflation |
127 |
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The Consumer Price Index |
128 |
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Using a Price Index to “Deflate” Monetary Figures |
128 |
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Using a Price Index to Measure Inflation 129 |
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The GDP Deflator 129 |
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Summary |
130 |
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Key Terms |
130 |
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Test Yourself 130 |
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CHAPTER 7 ECONOMIC GROWTH: THEORY AND POLICY |
133 |
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PUZZLE: WHY DOES COLLEGE EDUCATION KEEP GETTING MORE EXPENSIVE? |
134 |
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THE THREE PILLARS OF PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH 134 |
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Capital 135 |
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Technology 135 |
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Labor Quality: Education and Training |
136 |
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LEVELS, GROWTH RATES, AND THE CONVERGENCE HYPOTHESIS |
136 |
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GROWTH POLICY: ENCOURAGING CAPITAL FORMATION |
138 |
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GROWTH POLICY: IMPROVING EDUCATION AND TRAINING |
140 |
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GROWTH POLICY: SPURRING TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE |
142 |
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THE PRODUCTIVITY SLOWDOWN AND SPEED-UP IN THE UNITED STATES 143 |
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The Productivity Slowdown, 1973–1995 |
143 |
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The Productivity Speed-up, 1995–? 144 |
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PUZZLE RESOLVED: WHY THE RELATIVE PRICE OF COLLEGE TUITION KEEPS RISING |
146 |
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GROWTH IN THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES |
147 |
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The Three Pillars Revisited 147 |
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Some Special Problems of the Developing Countries |
148 |
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FROM THE LONG RUN TO THE SHORT RUN |
149 |
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Summary 149 |
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Key Terms 150
Test Yourself 150
Discussion Questions 151
CHAPTER 8 AGGREGATE DEMAND AND THE POWERFUL CONSUMER 153
ISSUE: DEMAND MANAGEMENT AND THE ORNERY CONSUMER 154
AGGREGATE DEMAND, DOMESTIC PRODUCT, AND NATIONAL INCOME 154
CONTENTS |
XIII |
THE CIRCULAR FLOW OF SPENDING, PRODUCTION, AND INCOME 155 |
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CONSUMER SPENDING AND INCOME: THE IMPORTANT RELATIONSHIP 157 |
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THE CONSUMPTION FUNCTION AND THE MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME 160 |
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FACTORS THAT SHIFT THE CONSUMPTION FUNCTION |
161 |
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ISSUE REVISITED: WHY THE TAX REBATES FAILED IN 1975 AND 2001 |
162 |
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THE EXTREME VARIABILITY OF INVESTMENT |
164 |
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THE DETERMINANTS OF NET EXPORTS |
165 |
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National Incomes 165 |
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Relative Prices and Exchange Rates |
165 |
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HOW PREDICTABLE IS AGGREGATE DEMAND? 166 |
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Summary |
166 |
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Key Terms |
167 |
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Test Yourself 167 |
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Discussion Questions 168 |
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APPENDIX: NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING |
168 |
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Defining GDP: Exceptions to the Rules 168 |
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GDP as the Sum of Final Goods and Services 169 |
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GDP as the Sum of All Factor Payments |
169 |
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GDP as the Sum of Values Added |
171 |
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Summary |
172 |
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Key Terms |
173 |
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Test Yourself 173 |
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Discussion Questions 174 |
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CHAPTER 9 |
DEMAND-SIDE EQUILIBRIUM: UNEMPLOYMENT OR INFLATION? 175 |
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ISSUE: WHY DOES THE MARKET PERMIT UNEMPLOYMENT? 176 |
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THE MEANING OF EQUILIBRIUM GDP 176 |
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THE MECHANICS OF INCOME DETERMINATION |
178 |
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THE AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE |
180 |
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DEMAND-SIDE EQUILIBRIUM AND FULL EMPLOYMENT |
182 |
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THE COORDINATION OF SAVING AND INVESTMENT |
183 |
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CHANGES ON THE DEMAND SIDE: MULTIPLIER ANALYSIS |
185 |
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The Magic of the Multiplier |
185 |
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Demystifying the Multiplier: How It Works |
186 |
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Algebraic Statement of the Multiplier |
187 |
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THE MULTIPLIER IS A GENERAL CONCEPT |
189 |
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THE MULTIPLIER AND THE AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE |
190 |
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Summary |
191 |
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Key Terms |
192 |
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Test Yourself |
192 |
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Discussion Questions 193 |
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APPENDIX A: THE SIMPLE ALGEBRA OF INCOME DETERMINATION AND THE MULTIPLIER 193 |
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Test Yourself 194 |
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Discussion Questions 194 |
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APPENDIX B: THE MULTIPLIER WITH VARIABLE IMPORTS |
194 |
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Summary |
197 |
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Test Yourself 197 |
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Discussion Question 197 |
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CHAPTER 10 |
BRINGING IN THE SUPPLY-SIDE: UNEMPLOYMENT AND INFLATION? 199 |
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PUZZLE: WHAT CAUSES STAGFLATION? 200 |
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THE AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE |
200 |
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Why the Aggregate Supply Curve Slopes Upward |
200 |
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Shifts of the Agregate Supply Curve |
201 |
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XIV CONTENTS
EQUILIBRIUM OF AGGREGATE DEMAND AND SUPPLY |
203 |
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INFLATION AND THE MULTIPLIER 204 |
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RECESSIONARY AND INFLATIONARY GAPS REVISITED |
205 |
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ADJUSTING TO A RECESSIONARY GAP: DEFLATION OR UNEMPLOYMENT? 207 |
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Why Nominal Wages and Prices Won’t Fall (Easily) |
207 |
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Does the Economy Have a Self-Correcting Mechanism? 208 |
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An example from Recent History: Deflation in Japan |
209 |
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ADJUSTING TO AN INFLATIONARY GAP: INFLATION |
209 |
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Demand Inflation and Stagflation |
210 |
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A U.S. Example 210 |
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STAGFLATION FROM A SUPPLY SHOCK |
211 |
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APPLYING THE MODEL TO A GROWING ECONOMY |
212 |
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Demand-Side Fluctuations |
213 |
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Supply-Side Fluctuations |
214 |
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PUZZLE RESOLVED: EXPLAINING STAGFLATION |
216 |
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A ROLE FOR STABILIZATION POLICY |
216 |
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Summary |
216 |
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Key Terms |
217 |
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Test Yourself 217
Discussion Questions 218
PART 3 |
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FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICY |
219 |
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CHAPTER 11 |
MANAGING AGGREGATE DEMAND: FISCAL POLICY 221 |
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ISSUE: AGGREGATE DEMAND, AGGREGATE SUPPLY, AND THE CAMPAIGN OF 2008 |
222 |
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INCOME TAXES AND THE CONSUMPTION SCHEDULE |
222 |
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THE MULTIPLIER REVISITED |
223 |
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The Tax Multiplier |
223 |
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Income Taxes and the Multiplier |
224 |
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Automatic Stabilizers |
225 |
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Government Transfer Payments |
225 |
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ISSUE REVISITED: THE 2008 DEBATE OVER TAXES AND SPENDING |
226 |
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PLANNING EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY |
226 |
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PLANNING CONTRACTIONARY FISCAL POLICY 227 |
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THE CHOICE BETWEEN SPENDING POLICY AND TAX POLICY |
227 |
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ISSUE REDUX: DEMOCRATS VERSUS REPUBLICANS 228 |
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SOME HARSH REALITIES |
228 |
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THE IDEA BEHIND SUPPLY-SIDE TAX CUTS |
229 |
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Some Flies in the Ointment |
230 |
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ISSUE: THE PARTISAN DEBATE ONCE MORE |
231 |
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Toward an Assessment of Supply-Side Economics |
232 |
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Summary |
233 |
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Key Terms |
233 |
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Test Yourself 234 |
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Discussion Questions 234 |
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| APPENDIX A | GRAPHICAL TREATMENT OF TAXES AND FISCAL POLICY |
235 |
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MULTIPLIERS FOR TAX POLICY |
237 |
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Summary |
237 |
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Key Terms |
237 |
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Test Yourself 238 |
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Discussion Questions |
238 |
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| APPENDIX B | ALGEBRAIC TREATMENT OF TAXES AND FISCAL POLICY |
238 |
Test Yourself 240
CONTENTS |
XV |
CHAPTER 12 MONEY AND THE BANKING SYSTEM |
241 |
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ISSUE: WHY ARE BANKS SO HEAVILY REGULATED? |
242 |
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THE NATURE OF MONEY |
242 |
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Barter versus Monetary Exchange |
243 |
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The Conceptual Definition of Money 244 |
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What Serves as Money? 244 |
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HOW THE QUANTITY OF MONEY IS MEASURED 246 |
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M1 |
246 |
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M2 |
247 |
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Other Definitions of the Money Supply 247 |
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THE BANKING SYSTEM |
248 |
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How Banking Began 248 |
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Principles of Bank Management: Profits versus Safety 250 |
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Bank Regulation |
250 |
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THE ORIGINS OF THE MONEY SUPPLY |
251 |
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How Bankers Keep Books |
251 |
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BANKS AND MONEY CREATION |
252 |
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The Limits to Money Creation by a Single Bank |
252 |
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Multiple Money Creation by a Series of Banks |
254 |
The Process in Reverse: Multiple Contractions of the Money Supply 256
WHY THE MONEY-CREATION FORMULA IS OVERSIMPLIFIED 258
THE NEED FOR MONETARY POLICY 259
Summary 259
Key Terms 260
Test Yourself 260
Discussion Questions 260
CHAPTER 13 MANAGING AGGREGATE DEMAND: MONETARY POLICY |
261 |
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ISSUE: JUST WHY IS BEN BERNANKE SO IMPORTANT? 262 |
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MONEY AND INCOME: THE IMPORTANT DIFFERENCE 262 |
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AMERICA’S CENTRAL BANK: THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM |
263 |
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Origins and Structure 263 |
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Central Bank Independence |
264 |
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IMPLEMENTING MONETARY POLICY: OPEN-MARKET OPERATIONS 265 |
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The Market for Bank Reserves |
265 |
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The Mechanics of an Open-Market Operation 266 |
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Open-Market Operations, Bond Prices, and Interest Rates |
268 |
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OTHER METHODS OF MONETARY CONTROL |
268 |
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Lending to Banks 269 |
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Changing Reserve Requirements 270 |
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HOW MONETARY POLICY WORKS |
270 |
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Investment and Interest Rates |
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271 |
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Monetary Policy and Total Expenditure |
271 |
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MONEY AND THE PRICE LEVEL IN THE KEYNESIAN MODEL 272 |
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Application: Why the Aggregate Demand Curve Slopes Downward |
273 |
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FROM MODELS TO POLICY DEBATES |
274 |
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Summary |
274 |
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Key Terms |
275 |
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Test Yourself 275
Discussion Questions 276
CHAPTER 14 THE DEBATE OVER MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY 277
ISSUE: SHOULD WE FORSAKE STABILIZATION POLICY? 278
XVI CONTENTS
VELOCITY AND THE QUANTITY THEORY OF MONEY |
278 |
Some Determinants of Velocity 280 |
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Monetarism: The Quantity Theory Modernized |
281 |
FISCAL POLICY, INTEREST RATES, AND VELOCITY |
281 |
Application: The Multiplier Formula Revisited |
282 |
Application: The Government Budget and Investment 283
DEBATE: SHOULD WE RELY ON FISCAL OR MONETARY POLICY? 283
DEBATE: SHOULD THE FED CONTROL THE MONEY SUPPLY OR INTEREST RATES? 284
Two Imperfect Alternatives 286
What Has the Fed Actually Done? 286
DEBATE: THE SHAPE OF THE AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE 287 DEBATE: SHOULD THE GOVERNMENT INTERVENE? 289
Lags and the Rules-versus-Discretion Debate 291
DIMENSIONS OF THE RULES-VERSUS-DISCRETION DEBATE 291
How Fast Does the Economy’s Self-Correcting Mechanism Work? 291 How Long Are the Lags in Stabilization Policy? 292
How Accurate Are Economic Forcasts? 292 The Size of Government 292
Uncertainties Caused by Government Policy 293 A Political Business Cycle? 293
ISSUE REVISITED: WHAT SHOULD BE DONE? 295
Summary 295
Key Terms 296 Test Yourself 296
Discussion Questions 297
CHAPTER 15 BUDGET DEFICITS IN THE SHORT AND LONG RUN 299
ISSUE: IS THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT BUDGET DEFICIT TOO LARGE? |
300 |
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SHOULD THE BUDGET BE BALANCED? THE SHORT RUN 300 |
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The Importance of the Policy Mix 301 |
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SURPLUSES AND DEFICITS: THE LONG RUN 301 |
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DEFICITS AND DEBT: TERMINOLOGY AND FACTS 303 |
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Some Facts about the National Debt 303 |
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INTERPRETING THE BUDGET DEFICIT OR SURPLUS |
305 |
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The Structural Deficit or Surplus |
305 |
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On-Budget versus Off-Budget Surpluses |
307 |
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Conclusion: What Happened after 1981? 307 |
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WHY IS THE NATIONAL DEBT CONSIDERED A BURDEN? 307 |
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BUDGET DEFICITS AND INFLATION |
308 |
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The Monetization Issue 309 |
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DEBT, INTEREST RATES, AND CROWDING OUT |
310 |
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The Bottom Line 311 |
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THE MAIN BURDEN OF THE NATIONAL DEBT: SLOWER GROWTH |
311 |
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ISSUE REVISITED: IS THE BUDGET DEFICIT TOO LARGE? |
313 |
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THE ECONOMICS AND POLITICS OF THE U.S. BUDGET DEFICIT |
314 |
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Summary |
315 |
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Key Terms |
315 |
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Test Yourself 316
Discussion Questions 316
CHAPTER 16 THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT 317
ISSUE: IS THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT A RELIC OF THE PAST? 318
DEMAND-SIDE INFLATION VERSUS SUPPLY-SIDE INFLATION: A REVIEW |
318 |
ORIGINS OF THE PHILLIPS CURVE 319 |
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SUPPLY-SIDE INFLATION AND THE COLLAPSE OF THE PHILLIPS CURVE |
321 |
CONTENTS |
XVII |
Explaining the Fabulous 1990s |
321 |
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ISSUE RESOLVED: WHY INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT BOTH DECLINED |
322 |
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WHAT THE PHILLIPS CURVE IS NOT |
322 |
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FIGHTING UNEMPLOYMENT WITH FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICY |
324 |
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WHAT SHOULD BE DONE? 325 |
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The Costs of Inflation and Unemployment |
325 |
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The Slope of the (Short-Run) Phillips Curve |
325 |
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The Efficiency of the Economy’s Self-Correcting Mechanism 325 |
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INFLATIONARY EXPECTATIONS AND THE PHILLIPS CURVE |
326 |
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THE THEORY OF RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS |
328 |
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What Are Rational Expectations? 328 |
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Rational Expectations and the Trade-Off |
329 |
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An Evaluation 329 |
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WHY ECONOMISTS (AND POLITICIANS) DISAGREE 330 |
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THE DILEMMA OF DEMAND MANAGEMENT |
331 |
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ATTEMPTS TO REDUCE THE NATURAL RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT |
331 |
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INDEXING 332 |
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Summary 333
Key Terms 334
Test Yourself 334
Discussion Questions 334
PART 4 |
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THE UNITED STATES IN THE WORLD ECONOMY 337 |
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CHAPTER 17 |
INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE |
339 |
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ISSUE: HOW CAN AMERICANS COMPETE WITH “CHEAP FOREIGN LABOR”? 340 |
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WHY TRADE? |
341 |
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Mutual Gains from Trade 341 |
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INTERNATIONAL VERSUS INTRANATIONAL TRADE |
342 |
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Political Factors in International Trade |
342 |
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The Many Currencies Involved in International Trade 342 |
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Impediments to Mobility of Labor and Capital |
342 |
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THE LAW OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE |
343 |
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The Arithmetic of Comparative Advantage |
343 |
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The Graphics of Comparative Advantage |
344 |
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Must Specialization Be Complete? 347 |
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ISSUE RESOLVED: COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE EXPOSES THE “CHEAP FOREIGN LABOR” FALLACY |
347 |
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TARIFFS, QUOTAS, AND OTHER INTERFERENCES WITH TRADE |
348 |
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Tariffs versus Quotas 349 |
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WHY INHIBIT TRADE? 350 |
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Gaining a Price Advantage for Domestic Firms |
350 |
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Protecting Particular Industries 350 |
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National Defense and Other Noneconomic Considerations |
351 |
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The Infant-Industry Argument 352 |
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Strategic Trade Policy 353 |
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CAN CHEAP IMPORTS HURT A COUNTRY? 353 |
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A LAST LOOK AT THE “CHEAP FOREIGN LABOR” ARGUMENT 354 |
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Summary |
356 |
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Key Terms |
356 |
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Test Yourself |
357 |
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Discussion Questions 357 |
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| APPENDIX | SUPPLY, DEMAND, AND PRICING IN WORLD TRADE 358 |
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HOW TARIFFS AND QUOTAS WORK 359 |
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Summary |
360 |
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Test Yourself 360
XVIII CONTENTS
CHAPTER 18 THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM: ORDER OR DISORDER? 361
PUZZLE: WHY HAS THE DOLLAR SAGGED? 362 |
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WHAT ARE EXCHANGE RATES? 362 |
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EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION IN A FREE MARKET |
363 |
Interest Rates and Exchange Rates: The Short Run 365 |
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Economic Activity and Exchange Rates: The Medium Run 366 |
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The Purchasing-Power Parity Theory: The Long Run |
366 |
Market Determination of Exchange Rates: Summary |
368 |
WHEN GOVERNMENTS FIX EXCHANGE RATES: THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 369
A BIT OF HISTORY: THE GOLD STANDARD AND THE BRETTON WOODS SYSTEM 370
The Classical Gold Standard |
371 |
The Bretton Woods System |
371 |
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISMS UNDER FIXED EXCHANGE RATES 372 WHY TRY TO FIX EXCHANGE RATES? 372
THE CURRENT “NONSYSTEM” 373
The Role of the IMF |
374 |
The Volatile Dollar |
374 |
The Birth of the Euro |
375 |
PUZZLE RESOLVED: WHY THE DOLLAR ROSE AND THEN FELL 376
Summary 377
Key Terms 377
Test Yourself 378
Discussion Questions 378
CHAPTER 19 EXCHANGE RATES AND THE MACROECONOMY |
379 |
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ISSUE: SHOULD THE U.S. GOVERNMENT TRY TO STOP THE DOLLAR FROM FALLING? |
380 |
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INTERNATIONAL TRADE, EXCHANGE RATES, AND AGGREGATE DEMAND 380 |
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Relative Prices, Exports, and Imports |
381 |
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The Effects of Changes in Exchange Rates 381 |
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AGGREGATE SUPPLY IN AN OPEN ECONOMY |
382 |
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THE MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATES 383 |
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Interest Rates and International Capital Flows |
384 |
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FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN AN OPEN ECONOMY |
384 |
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Fiscal Policy Revisited 384 |
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Monetary Policy Revisited |
386 |
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INTERNATIONAL ASPECTS OF DEFICIT REDUCTION |
386 |
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The Loose Link between the Budget Deficit and the Trade Deficit 387 |
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SHOULD WE WORRY ABOUT THE TRADE DEFICIT? 388 |
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ON CURING THE TRADE DEFICIT |
388 |
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Change the Mix of Fiscal and Monetary Policy |
388 |
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More Rapid Economic Growth Abroad |
389 |
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Raise Domestic Saving or Reduce Domestic Investment |
389 |
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Protectionism 389 |
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CONCLUSION: NO NATION IS AN ISLAND 390 |
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ISSUE REVISITED: SHOULD THE UNITED STATES LET THE DOLLAR FALL? 391
Summary 391
Key Terms 392
Test Yourself 392
Discussion Questions 392
| APPENDIX | Answers to Odd-Numbered Test Yourself Questions 393
GLOSSARY 405
INDEX 413
PREFACE
A s usual, when preparing a new edition, we have made many small changes to improve clarity of exposition and to update the text both for recent economics events and for relevant advances in the literature. But this time we have focused on one particular addition that will, so far as we have been able to find out, differentiate this book
from all other introductory texts.
We have included in the eleventh edition a substantial discussion of the role of the entrepreneurs and of the microtheory of their activities, their pricing and their earnings, and the implications for economic growth. Several studies of the place of the entrepreneur in economics textbooks (including earlier editions of this one) have all reached the same conclusion: that entrepreneurs are either completely invisible or are virtually so. Indeed, in a substantial set of the textbooks the word entrepreneur does not even appear in the index.
Now, this omission should appear strange because entrepreneurs are often classified as one of the four factors of production—but the only one to which no chapter is devoted. More than that, it seems universally recognized by economists that economic growth is the prime contributor to the general welfare and that more than 80 percent of the current income of the average American was contributed by growth in the past century alone. Moreover, it is clear that, even though entrepreneurs did not produce this growth by themselves, much if not most of this historically unprecedented achievement would not have occurred without them. Yet, in the textbooks, they have been the invisible men and women.
This eleventh edition is the product of nearly 30 years of the existence and modification of this book. In the responses to a survey of faculty users, it became clear that a number of chapters were generally not covered by instructors for lack of time, although the material is of considerable interest to students and is not—or need not be—technically demanding. So we simplified several such chapters further—notably Chapter 9 on the stock and bond markets, Chapter 13 on regulation and antitrust, Chapter 17 on environmental economics, and Chapter 21 on poverty and inequality—to make it practical for an instructor to assign any or all of them to the students for reading entirely by themselves.
In the macroeconomic portions of the book, we try to make the links between the short run and the long run clearer and more explicit with each passing edition. For the eleventh edition, we have also added much new material on the problems in the subprime mortgage markets, the ensuing financial crisis and possible recession, and several economic issues in the 2008 presidential campaign—even though, at this writing, no one yet knows who the Democratic nominee will be! As is our practice, these new materials are scattered over many chapters of the text, so as to locate the discussions of current events and policy close to the places where the relevant principles are taught. This edition also adds a bit more material on China; sadly, the experience in Zimbabwe has provided a contemporary example of hyperinflation.
We ended this section of the preface to the tenth edition by singling out the critical contributions of one colleague and friend of amazingly long duration. We now repeat some of our words about the late Sue Anne Batey Blackman, who worked closely with us through 10 editions of this book; for all practical purposes, she had become a coauthor. Indeed, the chapter on environmental matters is now largely her product. Her creative mind guided our efforts; her eagle eyes caught our errors; and her stimulating and pleasant company kept us going. Perhaps most important, we loved and valued her most profoundly. Unfortunately, she has been taken from us much too young. Our children and grandchildren will understand and surely support our decision, for once, not to dedicate this edition of the book to them, but rather to our precious lost friend, Sue Anne.
XIX