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CONTENTS

 

 

 

 

 

Government Expenditures

34

 

 

 

 

Taxes in America 35

 

 

 

 

 

The Government as Redistributor

36

 

 

 

CONCLUSION: IT’S A MIXED ECONOMY

36

 

 

 

Summary

36

 

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

37

 

 

 

 

 

Discussion Questions 37

 

 

 

 

 

CHAPTER 3 THE FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC PROBLEM: SCARCITY AND CHOICE 39

ISSUE: WHAT TO DO ABOUT THE BUDGET DEFICIT?

40

 

 

 

SCARCITY, CHOICE, AND OPPORTUNITY COST 40

 

 

Opportunity Cost and Money Cost

41

 

 

 

Optimal Choice: Not Just Any Choice 42

 

 

SCARCITY AND CHOICE FOR A SINGLE FIRM

42

 

 

The Production Possibilities Frontier 43

 

 

The Principle of Increasing Costs

44

 

 

 

SCARCITY AND CHOICE FOR THE ENTIRE SOCIETY

45

 

Scarcity and Choice Elsewhere in the Economy

45

 

ISSUE REVISITED: COPING WITH THE BUDGET DEFICIT

46

 

 

THE CONCEPT OF EFFICIENCY

47

 

 

 

 

THE THREE COORDINATION TASKS OF ANY ECONOMY

48

SPECIALIZATION FOSTERS EFFICIENT RESOURCE ALLOCATION 48

The Wonders of the Division of Labor

48

 

 

The Amazing Principle of Comparative Advantage

49

SPECIALIZATION LEADS TO EXCHANGE

50

 

 

 

MARKETS, PRICES, AND THE THREE COORDINATION TASKS 50

LAST WORD: DON’T CONFUSE ENDS WITH MEANS

52

 

Summary 52

Key Terms 53

Test Yourself 53

Discussion Questions 53

CHAPTER 4 SUPPLY AND DEMAND: AN INITIAL LOOK 55

PUZZLE: WHAT HAPPENED TO OIL PRICES?

56

 

 

THE INVISIBLE HAND 56

 

 

 

DEMAND AND QUANTITY DEMANDED 57

 

The Demand Schedule 58

 

 

 

The Demand Curve 58

 

 

 

Shifts of the Demand Curve

58

 

 

SUPPLY AND QUANTITY SUPPLIED

61

 

 

The Supply Schedule and the Supply Curve 61

 

Shifts of the Supply Curve 62

 

 

SUPPLY AND DEMAND EQUILIBRIUM

64

 

The Law of Supply and Demand

66

 

EFFECTS OF DEMAND SHIFTS ON SUPPLY-DEMAND EQUILIBRIUM 66

SUPPLY SHIFTS AND SUPPLY-DEMAND EQUILIBRIUM

67

THOSE LEAPING OIL PRICES: PUZZLE RESOLVED

68

 

Application: Who Really Pays that Tax? 69

 

BATTLING THE INVISIBLE HAND: THE MARKET FIGHTS BACK 70

Restraining the Market Mechanism: Price Ceilings

70

Case Study: Rent Controls in New York City 72

Restraining the Market Mechanism: Price Floors 73

Case Study: Farm Price Supports and the Case of Sugar Prices 74

A Can of Worms 75

CONTENTS

XI

A SIMPLE BUT POWERFUL LESSON 76

Summary 76

Key Terms 77

Test Yourself 77

Discussion Questions 78

PART 2

THE MACROECONOMY: AGGREGATE SUPPLY AND DEMAND 81

CHAPTER 5 AN INTRODUCTION TO MACROECONOMICS 83

 

ISSUE: WHY DID GROWTH SLOW IN 2006-2007?

 

84

 

 

 

 

DRAWING A LINE BETWEEN MACROECONOMICS AND MICROECONOMICS

84

Aggregation and Macroeconomics

 

84

 

 

 

 

The Foundations of Aggregation

 

85

 

 

 

 

The Line of Demarcation Revisited

85

 

 

 

SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN MACROECONOMICS

85

 

 

A Quick Review 86

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Moving to Macroeconomic Aggregates

86

 

 

Inflation 87

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Recession and Unemployment

87

 

 

 

 

 

Economic Growth 87

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

87

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Money as the Measuring Rod: Real versus Nominal GDP

88

 

What Gets Counted in GDP? 88

 

 

 

 

 

 

Limitations of the GDP: What GDP Is Not

90

 

 

THE ECONOMY ON A ROLLER COASTER

 

91

 

 

 

Growth, but with Fluctuations

91

 

 

 

 

 

Inflation and Deflation

93

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Great Depression

94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

From World War II to 1973 95

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Great Stagflation, 1973–1980

 

96

 

 

 

 

Reaganomics and Its Aftermath

97

 

 

 

 

 

Clintonomics: Deficit Reduction and the “New Economy” 97

 

Tax Cuts and the Bush Economy

 

98

 

 

 

 

ISSUE REVISITED: WAS IT GEORGE BUSHS FAULT?

99

 

 

 

THE PROBLEM OF MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION: A SNEAK PREVIEW

99

Combating Unemployment 99

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Combating Inflation 100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Does It Really Work? 100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Summary

101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself 102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discussion Questions 103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHAPTER 6 THE GOALS OF MACROECONOMIC POLICY

105

 

PART 1: THE GOAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH

106

 

 

PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH: FROM LITTLE ACORNS . . . 106

 

 

ISSUE: IS FASTER GROWTH ALWAYS BETTER? 108

 

 

 

 

 

THE CAPACITY TO PRODUCE: POTENTIAL GDP AND THE PRODUCTION FUNCTION 108

THE GROWTH RATE OF POTENTIAL GDP

109

 

 

 

ISSUE REVISITED: IS FASTER GROWTH ALWAYS BETTER?

110

 

 

PART 2: THE GOAL OF LOW UNEMPLOYMENT

111

 

 

THE HUMAN COSTS OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT 112

 

 

COUNTING THE UNEMPLOYED: THE OFFICIAL STATISTICS

113

 

TYPES OF UNEMPLOYMENT

114

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

XII CONTENTS

HOW MUCH EMPLOYMENT IS “FULL EMPLOYMENT”? 115

 

UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE: THE INVALUABLE CUSHION

115

PART 3: THE GOAL OF LOW INFLATION

116

 

 

 

INFLATION: THE MYTH AND THE REALITY

117

 

 

 

Inflation and Real Wages

117

 

 

 

 

 

The Importance of Relative Prices

119

 

 

 

INFLATION AS A REDISTRIBUTOR OF INCOME AND WEALTH

120

REAL VERSUS NOMINAL INTEREST RATES

120

 

 

 

INFLATION DISTORTS MEASUREMENTS

121

 

 

 

Confusing Real and Nominal Interest Rates

122

 

 

The Malfunctioning Tax System

122

 

 

 

 

OTHER COSTS OF INFLATION

122

 

 

 

 

 

THE COSTS OF LOW VERSUS HIGH INFLATION

123

 

 

LOW INFLATION DOES NOT NECESSARILY LEAD TO HIGH INFLATION 125

Summary 125

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

126

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself

126

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discussion Questions 127

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

APPENDIX: HOW STATISTICIANS MEASURE INFLATION

127

 

Index Numbers for Inflation

127

 

 

 

 

 

The Consumer Price Index

128

 

 

 

 

 

Using a Price Index to “Deflate” Monetary Figures

128

 

Using a Price Index to Measure Inflation 129

 

 

The GDP Deflator 129

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Summary

130

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

130

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself 130

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

CHAPTER 7 ECONOMIC GROWTH: THEORY AND POLICY

133

 

PUZZLE: WHY DOES COLLEGE EDUCATION KEEP GETTING MORE EXPENSIVE?

134

 

THE THREE PILLARS OF PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH 134

 

 

 

Capital 135

 

 

 

 

Technology 135

 

 

 

 

Labor Quality: Education and Training

136

 

 

 

LEVELS, GROWTH RATES, AND THE CONVERGENCE HYPOTHESIS

136

GROWTH POLICY: ENCOURAGING CAPITAL FORMATION

138

 

GROWTH POLICY: IMPROVING EDUCATION AND TRAINING

140

GROWTH POLICY: SPURRING TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE

142

 

THE PRODUCTIVITY SLOWDOWN AND SPEED-UP IN THE UNITED STATES 143

The Productivity Slowdown, 1973–1995

143

 

 

 

The Productivity Speed-up, 1995–? 144

 

 

 

PUZZLE RESOLVED: WHY THE RELATIVE PRICE OF COLLEGE TUITION KEEPS RISING

146

GROWTH IN THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

147

 

 

 

The Three Pillars Revisited 147

 

 

 

 

Some Special Problems of the Developing Countries

148

 

 

FROM THE LONG RUN TO THE SHORT RUN

149

 

 

 

Summary 149

 

 

 

 

Key Terms 150

Test Yourself 150

Discussion Questions 151

CHAPTER 8 AGGREGATE DEMAND AND THE POWERFUL CONSUMER 153

ISSUE: DEMAND MANAGEMENT AND THE ORNERY CONSUMER 154

AGGREGATE DEMAND, DOMESTIC PRODUCT, AND NATIONAL INCOME 154

CONTENTS

XIII

THE CIRCULAR FLOW OF SPENDING, PRODUCTION, AND INCOME 155

CONSUMER SPENDING AND INCOME: THE IMPORTANT RELATIONSHIP 157

THE CONSUMPTION FUNCTION AND THE MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME 160

FACTORS THAT SHIFT THE CONSUMPTION FUNCTION

161

ISSUE REVISITED: WHY THE TAX REBATES FAILED IN 1975 AND 2001

162

THE EXTREME VARIABILITY OF INVESTMENT

164

 

THE DETERMINANTS OF NET EXPORTS

165

 

 

National Incomes 165

 

 

 

Relative Prices and Exchange Rates

165

 

 

HOW PREDICTABLE IS AGGREGATE DEMAND? 166

 

Summary

166

 

 

 

Key Terms

167

 

 

 

Test Yourself 167

 

 

 

Discussion Questions 168

 

 

 

APPENDIX: NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING

168

 

Defining GDP: Exceptions to the Rules 168

 

GDP as the Sum of Final Goods and Services 169

 

GDP as the Sum of All Factor Payments

169

 

GDP as the Sum of Values Added

171

 

 

Summary

172

 

 

 

Key Terms

173

 

 

 

Test Yourself 173

 

 

 

Discussion Questions 174

 

 

 

CHAPTER 9

DEMAND-SIDE EQUILIBRIUM: UNEMPLOYMENT OR INFLATION? 175

ISSUE: WHY DOES THE MARKET PERMIT UNEMPLOYMENT? 176

 

 

 

THE MEANING OF EQUILIBRIUM GDP 176

 

 

 

THE MECHANICS OF INCOME DETERMINATION

178

 

 

THE AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE

180

 

 

 

 

DEMAND-SIDE EQUILIBRIUM AND FULL EMPLOYMENT

182

THE COORDINATION OF SAVING AND INVESTMENT

183

 

CHANGES ON THE DEMAND SIDE: MULTIPLIER ANALYSIS

185

The Magic of the Multiplier

185

 

 

 

 

Demystifying the Multiplier: How It Works

186

 

 

Algebraic Statement of the Multiplier

187

 

 

 

THE MULTIPLIER IS A GENERAL CONCEPT

189

 

 

 

THE MULTIPLIER AND THE AGGREGATE DEMAND CURVE

190

Summary

191

 

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

192

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself

192

 

 

 

 

 

Discussion Questions 193

 

 

 

 

 

APPENDIX A: THE SIMPLE ALGEBRA OF INCOME DETERMINATION AND THE MULTIPLIER 193

Test Yourself 194

 

 

 

 

 

Discussion Questions 194

 

 

 

 

 

APPENDIX B: THE MULTIPLIER WITH VARIABLE IMPORTS

194

Summary

197

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself 197

 

 

 

 

 

Discussion Question 197

 

 

 

 

 

CHAPTER 10

BRINGING IN THE SUPPLY-SIDE: UNEMPLOYMENT AND INFLATION? 199

PUZZLE: WHAT CAUSES STAGFLATION? 200

 

 

 

 

THE AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE

200

 

 

 

 

Why the Aggregate Supply Curve Slopes Upward

200

Shifts of the Agregate Supply Curve

201

 

 

 

XIV CONTENTS

EQUILIBRIUM OF AGGREGATE DEMAND AND SUPPLY

203

INFLATION AND THE MULTIPLIER 204

 

 

RECESSIONARY AND INFLATIONARY GAPS REVISITED

205

ADJUSTING TO A RECESSIONARY GAP: DEFLATION OR UNEMPLOYMENT? 207

Why Nominal Wages and Prices Won’t Fall (Easily)

207

Does the Economy Have a Self-Correcting Mechanism? 208

An example from Recent History: Deflation in Japan

209

ADJUSTING TO AN INFLATIONARY GAP: INFLATION

209

Demand Inflation and Stagflation

210

 

 

A U.S. Example 210

 

 

 

 

STAGFLATION FROM A SUPPLY SHOCK

211

 

 

APPLYING THE MODEL TO A GROWING ECONOMY

212

 

Demand-Side Fluctuations

213

 

 

 

Supply-Side Fluctuations

214

 

 

 

PUZZLE RESOLVED: EXPLAINING STAGFLATION

216

 

 

A ROLE FOR STABILIZATION POLICY

216

 

 

Summary

216

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

217

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself 217

Discussion Questions 218

PART 3

 

FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICY

219

 

CHAPTER 11

MANAGING AGGREGATE DEMAND: FISCAL POLICY 221

 

ISSUE: AGGREGATE DEMAND, AGGREGATE SUPPLY, AND THE CAMPAIGN OF 2008

222

 

INCOME TAXES AND THE CONSUMPTION SCHEDULE

222

 

 

THE MULTIPLIER REVISITED

223

 

 

 

 

 

The Tax Multiplier

223

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income Taxes and the Multiplier

224

 

 

 

 

Automatic Stabilizers

225

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government Transfer Payments

225

 

 

 

 

ISSUE REVISITED: THE 2008 DEBATE OVER TAXES AND SPENDING

226

 

 

PLANNING EXPANSIONARY FISCAL POLICY

226

 

 

 

PLANNING CONTRACTIONARY FISCAL POLICY 227

 

 

 

THE CHOICE BETWEEN SPENDING POLICY AND TAX POLICY

227

 

ISSUE REDUX: DEMOCRATS VERSUS REPUBLICANS 228

 

 

 

 

SOME HARSH REALITIES

228

 

 

 

 

 

 

THE IDEA BEHIND SUPPLY-SIDE TAX CUTS

229

 

 

 

Some Flies in the Ointment

230

 

 

 

 

ISSUE: THE PARTISAN DEBATE ONCE MORE

231

 

 

 

 

Toward an Assessment of Supply-Side Economics

232

 

 

Summary

233

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

233

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself 234

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discussion Questions 234

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

| APPENDIX A | GRAPHICAL TREATMENT OF TAXES AND FISCAL POLICY

235

MULTIPLIERS FOR TAX POLICY

237

 

 

 

 

Summary

237

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

237

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself 238

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discussion Questions

238

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

| APPENDIX B | ALGEBRAIC TREATMENT OF TAXES AND FISCAL POLICY

238

Test Yourself 240

CONTENTS

XV

CHAPTER 12 MONEY AND THE BANKING SYSTEM

241

ISSUE: WHY ARE BANKS SO HEAVILY REGULATED?

242

 

THE NATURE OF MONEY

242

 

 

 

Barter versus Monetary Exchange

243

 

The Conceptual Definition of Money 244

 

What Serves as Money? 244

 

 

HOW THE QUANTITY OF MONEY IS MEASURED 246

M1

246

 

 

 

 

M2

247

 

 

 

 

Other Definitions of the Money Supply 247

 

THE BANKING SYSTEM

248

 

 

 

How Banking Began 248

 

 

 

Principles of Bank Management: Profits versus Safety 250

Bank Regulation

250

 

 

 

THE ORIGINS OF THE MONEY SUPPLY

251

 

How Bankers Keep Books

251

 

 

BANKS AND MONEY CREATION

252

 

 

The Limits to Money Creation by a Single Bank

252

Multiple Money Creation by a Series of Banks

254

The Process in Reverse: Multiple Contractions of the Money Supply 256

WHY THE MONEY-CREATION FORMULA IS OVERSIMPLIFIED 258

THE NEED FOR MONETARY POLICY 259

Summary 259

Key Terms 260

Test Yourself 260

Discussion Questions 260

CHAPTER 13 MANAGING AGGREGATE DEMAND: MONETARY POLICY

261

ISSUE: JUST WHY IS BEN BERNANKE SO IMPORTANT? 262

 

 

 

MONEY AND INCOME: THE IMPORTANT DIFFERENCE 262

 

 

AMERICA’S CENTRAL BANK: THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

263

 

Origins and Structure 263

 

 

 

 

 

Central Bank Independence

264

 

 

 

IMPLEMENTING MONETARY POLICY: OPEN-MARKET OPERATIONS 265

The Market for Bank Reserves

265

 

 

 

The Mechanics of an Open-Market Operation 266

 

 

Open-Market Operations, Bond Prices, and Interest Rates

268

 

OTHER METHODS OF MONETARY CONTROL

268

 

 

Lending to Banks 269

 

 

 

 

 

Changing Reserve Requirements 270

 

 

 

HOW MONETARY POLICY WORKS

270

 

 

 

Investment and Interest Rates

 

271

 

 

 

Monetary Policy and Total Expenditure

271

 

 

MONEY AND THE PRICE LEVEL IN THE KEYNESIAN MODEL 272

 

Application: Why the Aggregate Demand Curve Slopes Downward

273

FROM MODELS TO POLICY DEBATES

274

 

 

 

Summary

274

 

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

275

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself 275

Discussion Questions 276

CHAPTER 14 THE DEBATE OVER MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY 277

ISSUE: SHOULD WE FORSAKE STABILIZATION POLICY? 278

XVI CONTENTS

VELOCITY AND THE QUANTITY THEORY OF MONEY

278

Some Determinants of Velocity 280

 

Monetarism: The Quantity Theory Modernized

281

FISCAL POLICY, INTEREST RATES, AND VELOCITY

281

Application: The Multiplier Formula Revisited

282

Application: The Government Budget and Investment 283

DEBATE: SHOULD WE RELY ON FISCAL OR MONETARY POLICY? 283

DEBATE: SHOULD THE FED CONTROL THE MONEY SUPPLY OR INTEREST RATES? 284

Two Imperfect Alternatives 286

What Has the Fed Actually Done? 286

DEBATE: THE SHAPE OF THE AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE 287 DEBATE: SHOULD THE GOVERNMENT INTERVENE? 289

Lags and the Rules-versus-Discretion Debate 291

DIMENSIONS OF THE RULES-VERSUS-DISCRETION DEBATE 291

How Fast Does the Economy’s Self-Correcting Mechanism Work? 291 How Long Are the Lags in Stabilization Policy? 292

How Accurate Are Economic Forcasts? 292 The Size of Government 292

Uncertainties Caused by Government Policy 293 A Political Business Cycle? 293

ISSUE REVISITED: WHAT SHOULD BE DONE? 295

Summary 295

Key Terms 296 Test Yourself 296

Discussion Questions 297

CHAPTER 15 BUDGET DEFICITS IN THE SHORT AND LONG RUN 299

ISSUE: IS THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT BUDGET DEFICIT TOO LARGE?

300

 

SHOULD THE BUDGET BE BALANCED? THE SHORT RUN 300

 

The Importance of the Policy Mix 301

 

 

 

SURPLUSES AND DEFICITS: THE LONG RUN 301

 

 

DEFICITS AND DEBT: TERMINOLOGY AND FACTS 303

 

Some Facts about the National Debt 303

 

 

 

INTERPRETING THE BUDGET DEFICIT OR SURPLUS

305

 

The Structural Deficit or Surplus

305

 

 

 

On-Budget versus Off-Budget Surpluses

307

 

 

Conclusion: What Happened after 1981? 307

 

 

WHY IS THE NATIONAL DEBT CONSIDERED A BURDEN? 307

 

BUDGET DEFICITS AND INFLATION

308

 

 

 

The Monetization Issue 309

 

 

 

 

DEBT, INTEREST RATES, AND CROWDING OUT

310

 

 

The Bottom Line 311

 

 

 

 

THE MAIN BURDEN OF THE NATIONAL DEBT: SLOWER GROWTH

311

ISSUE REVISITED: IS THE BUDGET DEFICIT TOO LARGE?

313

 

 

THE ECONOMICS AND POLITICS OF THE U.S. BUDGET DEFICIT

314

Summary

315

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

315

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself 316

Discussion Questions 316

CHAPTER 16 THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT 317

ISSUE: IS THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT A RELIC OF THE PAST? 318

DEMAND-SIDE INFLATION VERSUS SUPPLY-SIDE INFLATION: A REVIEW

318

ORIGINS OF THE PHILLIPS CURVE 319

 

SUPPLY-SIDE INFLATION AND THE COLLAPSE OF THE PHILLIPS CURVE

321

CONTENTS

XVII

Explaining the Fabulous 1990s

321

 

 

 

 

ISSUE RESOLVED: WHY INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT BOTH DECLINED

322

 

WHAT THE PHILLIPS CURVE IS NOT

322

 

 

 

 

FIGHTING UNEMPLOYMENT WITH FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICY

324

WHAT SHOULD BE DONE? 325

 

 

 

 

 

The Costs of Inflation and Unemployment

325

 

 

The Slope of the (Short-Run) Phillips Curve

325

 

 

The Efficiency of the Economy’s Self-Correcting Mechanism 325

INFLATIONARY EXPECTATIONS AND THE PHILLIPS CURVE

326

 

THE THEORY OF RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS

328

 

 

What Are Rational Expectations? 328

 

 

 

 

Rational Expectations and the Trade-Off

329

 

 

An Evaluation 329

 

 

 

 

 

WHY ECONOMISTS (AND POLITICIANS) DISAGREE 330

 

 

THE DILEMMA OF DEMAND MANAGEMENT

331

 

 

ATTEMPTS TO REDUCE THE NATURAL RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT

331

INDEXING 332

 

 

 

 

 

Summary 333

Key Terms 334

Test Yourself 334

Discussion Questions 334

PART 4

 

THE UNITED STATES IN THE WORLD ECONOMY 337

CHAPTER 17

INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE

339

ISSUE: HOW CAN AMERICANS COMPETE WITH “CHEAP FOREIGN LABOR”? 340

 

 

WHY TRADE?

341

 

 

 

 

 

Mutual Gains from Trade 341

 

 

 

 

 

INTERNATIONAL VERSUS INTRANATIONAL TRADE

342

 

 

Political Factors in International Trade

342

 

 

 

The Many Currencies Involved in International Trade 342

 

 

Impediments to Mobility of Labor and Capital

342

 

 

THE LAW OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE

343

 

 

 

 

The Arithmetic of Comparative Advantage

343

 

 

 

The Graphics of Comparative Advantage

344

 

 

 

Must Specialization Be Complete? 347

 

 

 

 

ISSUE RESOLVED: COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE EXPOSES THE “CHEAP FOREIGN LABOR” FALLACY

347

TARIFFS, QUOTAS, AND OTHER INTERFERENCES WITH TRADE

348

 

Tariffs versus Quotas 349

 

 

 

 

 

WHY INHIBIT TRADE? 350

 

 

 

 

 

Gaining a Price Advantage for Domestic Firms

350

 

 

Protecting Particular Industries 350

 

 

 

 

 

National Defense and Other Noneconomic Considerations

351

 

The Infant-Industry Argument 352

 

 

 

 

 

Strategic Trade Policy 353

 

 

 

 

 

CAN CHEAP IMPORTS HURT A COUNTRY? 353

 

 

 

 

A LAST LOOK AT THE “CHEAP FOREIGN LABOR” ARGUMENT 354

 

 

 

Summary

356

 

 

 

 

 

Key Terms

356

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself

357

 

 

 

 

 

Discussion Questions 357

 

 

 

 

 

| APPENDIX | SUPPLY, DEMAND, AND PRICING IN WORLD TRADE 358

 

HOW TARIFFS AND QUOTAS WORK 359

 

 

 

 

Summary

360

 

 

 

 

 

Test Yourself 360

XVIII CONTENTS

CHAPTER 18 THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM: ORDER OR DISORDER? 361

PUZZLE: WHY HAS THE DOLLAR SAGGED? 362

 

WHAT ARE EXCHANGE RATES? 362

 

EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION IN A FREE MARKET

363

Interest Rates and Exchange Rates: The Short Run 365

Economic Activity and Exchange Rates: The Medium Run 366

The Purchasing-Power Parity Theory: The Long Run

366

Market Determination of Exchange Rates: Summary

368

WHEN GOVERNMENTS FIX EXCHANGE RATES: THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 369

A BIT OF HISTORY: THE GOLD STANDARD AND THE BRETTON WOODS SYSTEM 370

The Classical Gold Standard

371

The Bretton Woods System

371

ADJUSTMENT MECHANISMS UNDER FIXED EXCHANGE RATES 372 WHY TRY TO FIX EXCHANGE RATES? 372

THE CURRENT “NONSYSTEM” 373

The Role of the IMF

374

The Volatile Dollar

374

The Birth of the Euro

375

PUZZLE RESOLVED: WHY THE DOLLAR ROSE AND THEN FELL 376

Summary 377

Key Terms 377

Test Yourself 378

Discussion Questions 378

CHAPTER 19 EXCHANGE RATES AND THE MACROECONOMY

379

ISSUE: SHOULD THE U.S. GOVERNMENT TRY TO STOP THE DOLLAR FROM FALLING?

380

INTERNATIONAL TRADE, EXCHANGE RATES, AND AGGREGATE DEMAND 380

Relative Prices, Exports, and Imports

381

 

 

 

The Effects of Changes in Exchange Rates 381

 

 

 

AGGREGATE SUPPLY IN AN OPEN ECONOMY

382

 

 

 

THE MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATES 383

 

Interest Rates and International Capital Flows

384

 

 

FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICIES IN AN OPEN ECONOMY

384

Fiscal Policy Revisited 384

 

 

 

 

 

Monetary Policy Revisited

386

 

 

 

 

INTERNATIONAL ASPECTS OF DEFICIT REDUCTION

386

 

 

The Loose Link between the Budget Deficit and the Trade Deficit 387

SHOULD WE WORRY ABOUT THE TRADE DEFICIT? 388

 

 

ON CURING THE TRADE DEFICIT

388

 

 

 

 

Change the Mix of Fiscal and Monetary Policy

388

 

 

More Rapid Economic Growth Abroad

389

 

 

 

Raise Domestic Saving or Reduce Domestic Investment

389

Protectionism 389

 

 

 

 

 

CONCLUSION: NO NATION IS AN ISLAND 390

 

 

 

ISSUE REVISITED: SHOULD THE UNITED STATES LET THE DOLLAR FALL? 391

Summary 391

Key Terms 392

Test Yourself 392

Discussion Questions 392

| APPENDIX | Answers to Odd-Numbered Test Yourself Questions 393

GLOSSARY 405

INDEX 413

PREFACE

A s usual, when preparing a new edition, we have made many small changes to improve clarity of exposition and to update the text both for recent economics events and for relevant advances in the literature. But this time we have focused on one particular addition that will, so far as we have been able to find out, differentiate this book

from all other introductory texts.

We have included in the eleventh edition a substantial discussion of the role of the entrepreneurs and of the microtheory of their activities, their pricing and their earnings, and the implications for economic growth. Several studies of the place of the entrepreneur in economics textbooks (including earlier editions of this one) have all reached the same conclusion: that entrepreneurs are either completely invisible or are virtually so. Indeed, in a substantial set of the textbooks the word entrepreneur does not even appear in the index.

Now, this omission should appear strange because entrepreneurs are often classified as one of the four factors of production—but the only one to which no chapter is devoted. More than that, it seems universally recognized by economists that economic growth is the prime contributor to the general welfare and that more than 80 percent of the current income of the average American was contributed by growth in the past century alone. Moreover, it is clear that, even though entrepreneurs did not produce this growth by themselves, much if not most of this historically unprecedented achievement would not have occurred without them. Yet, in the textbooks, they have been the invisible men and women.

This eleventh edition is the product of nearly 30 years of the existence and modification of this book. In the responses to a survey of faculty users, it became clear that a number of chapters were generally not covered by instructors for lack of time, although the material is of considerable interest to students and is not—or need not be—technically demanding. So we simplified several such chapters further—notably Chapter 9 on the stock and bond markets, Chapter 13 on regulation and antitrust, Chapter 17 on environmental economics, and Chapter 21 on poverty and inequality—to make it practical for an instructor to assign any or all of them to the students for reading entirely by themselves.

In the macroeconomic portions of the book, we try to make the links between the short run and the long run clearer and more explicit with each passing edition. For the eleventh edition, we have also added much new material on the problems in the subprime mortgage markets, the ensuing financial crisis and possible recession, and several economic issues in the 2008 presidential campaign—even though, at this writing, no one yet knows who the Democratic nominee will be! As is our practice, these new materials are scattered over many chapters of the text, so as to locate the discussions of current events and policy close to the places where the relevant principles are taught. This edition also adds a bit more material on China; sadly, the experience in Zimbabwe has provided a contemporary example of hyperinflation.

We ended this section of the preface to the tenth edition by singling out the critical contributions of one colleague and friend of amazingly long duration. We now repeat some of our words about the late Sue Anne Batey Blackman, who worked closely with us through 10 editions of this book; for all practical purposes, she had become a coauthor. Indeed, the chapter on environmental matters is now largely her product. Her creative mind guided our efforts; her eagle eyes caught our errors; and her stimulating and pleasant company kept us going. Perhaps most important, we loved and valued her most profoundly. Unfortunately, she has been taken from us much too young. Our children and grandchildren will understand and surely support our decision, for once, not to dedicate this edition of the book to them, but rather to our precious lost friend, Sue Anne.

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