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19.1 Degrees of probability

Presentation

You will hear a conversation between a detective and his chief. Listen to the tape and answer the questions.

        1. What has happened ? What is happening ?

        2. Who are: (a) Hammond? (b) Cornfield?

        3. The Chief makes a number of predictions about what Hammond will do. Note them down in the correct place in the box below.

He will certainly do this

He will probably do this

Perhaps he will do this

He probably won’t do this

He certainly won’t do this


        1. What other prediction expressions does the Chief use, apart from those given in the table?

Practice

Work in pairs. Imagine you are the Detective and his Chief. Using your notes, have conversations as in the example.

Example Detective: Do you think he’ll get in touch with Cornfield ?

Chief: Yes, I expect he’ll get in touch with him.

19.2 Reassuring predictions Practice

Don is just going to start doing his national service in the army. He’s talking to some friends.

Work in grous. Have similar conservations using the expression below.

I expect

I should think

may

might

could

I don’t expect

I shouldn’t think

I doubt if

You’re worried about:

          1. an exam you’re going to take

          2. going on holiday alone

          3. having a baby

          4. your new job that starts next week

          5. going on a blind date

19.3 If & unless Practice

Example: Will the price of oil continue to rise?

I’m sure it will go up if we carry on using as much oil as we do now.

The price of oil may go down if we discover a lot of new oilfields.

Oil prices will certainly continue to rise unless we develop solar energy.

Answer these other questions using if and unless:

            1. Will the world’s population continue to grow ?

            2. Will unemployment get worse?

            3. Will there be another world war?

Now ask similar questions about things that are in the news.

19.4 WHAT WILL IT BE LIKE?

Free practice

Cordelia is thinking of getting a dog. She wants to know:

1. what she’ll have to do

2. what she’ll be able to do

3. what she won’t be able to do

Tell her what to expect.

Work in pairs. You are thinking of doing one of the things below, and you want to know what it will be like. Decide exactly what you want to know. Then ask your partner.

              1. going to live in England

              2. going to university

              3. taking a holiday job as a waiter/waitress

              4. opening a bank account

Writing

Write part of a letter to someone who is thinking of doing one of these things, telling him/her what to expect.

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